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INFORMATION IN THE YIELD CURVE: A MACRO‐FINANCE APPROACH
16 references·4 citing·37 second hop
INFORMATION IN THE YIELD CURVE: A MACRO‐FINANCE APPROACH (2012)INFORMATION IN THE YIELD CURVE: A MACRO‐F…Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks (2013)Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term…Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia (2009)Macro Factors in Bond Risk Pr…The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present (2007)The U.S. Treasury yield curve…Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (2007)Shocks and Frictions in US Bu…What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? (2005)What does the yield curve tel…Bond Risk Premia (2005)Bond Risk PremiaMonetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound: An Empirical Assessment (2004)Monetary Policy Alternatives …A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables (2003)A no-arbitrage vector autoreg…Term Premia and Interest Rate Forecasts in Affine Models (2002)Term Premia and Interest Rate…Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation? (2001)Are Phillips Curves Useful fo…Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting U.S. Recessions: F…The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity (1991)The Term Structure as a Predi…New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)New Indexes of Coincident and…The information in the term structure (1984)The information in the term s…Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1983)Forward Rates and Future Poli…An equilibrium characterization of the term structure (1977)An equilibrium characterizati…The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries (2021)The Relationship between Yiel…Natural Rate Chimera and Bond Pricing Reality (2021)Natural Rate Chimera and Bond…A re-evaluation of the term spread as a leading indicator (2019)A re-evaluation of the term s…The decline in the predictive power of the US term spread: A structural interpretation (2017)The decline in the predictive…An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions (2000)Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach (2001)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)The theory and practice of econometrics (1986)The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates (1987)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves (1987)A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (2009)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Pricing the term structure with linear regressions (2013)Intermediary asset pricing: New evidence from many asset classes (2017)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance * (2012)By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models (2002)Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets (2011)Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2014)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach (2005)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)A consumption-based model of the term structure of interest rates☆ (2005)The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective (1999)Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy (2005)A model of unconventional monetary policy (2010)Financial Intermediation and Credit Policy in Business Cycle Analysis (2010)When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large? (2011)The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (1996)The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems (1999)Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy (2012)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)How Sovereign Is Sovereign Credit Risk? (2011)
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References

  • 1977An equilibrium characterization of the term structure6,104 cited
  • 2007Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach4,628 cited
  • 1989New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators1,795 cited
  • 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
  • 2003A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables1,687 cited
  • 2002Term Premia and Interest Rate Forecasts in Affine Models1,581 cited
  • 2005Bond Risk Premia1,546 cited
  • 2007The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present1,337 cited
  • 1998Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators1,180 cited
  • 2009Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia1,043 cited
  • 2005What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?815 cited
  • 2001Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?731 cited
  • 2004Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound: An Empirical Assessment670 cited
  • 1984The information in the term structure659 cited
  • 2013Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks587 cited

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1983
Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates
562 cited

Cited by

  • 2017The decline in the predictive power of the US term spread: A structural interpretation19 cited
  • 2019A re-evaluation of the term spread as a leading indicator11 cited
  • 2021The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries10 cited
  • 2021Natural Rate Chimera and Bond Pricing Reality10 cited