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Presidential and Congressional Vote‐Share Equations
16 references·8 citing·41 second hop
Presidential and Congressional Vote‐Share Equations (2008)Presidential and Congressional Vote‐Share…General Economic Conditions and National Elections (2016)General Economic Conditions a…THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1984 Update (2010)THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS…Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections (2000)Bread and Peace Voting in U.S…Testing Macroeconometric Models (1994)Testing Macroeconometric Mode…Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote (1990)Trial-Heat Forecasts of the P…Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote: A Review of the Macrolevel Evidence (1990)Economic Conditions and the C…Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy (1989)Partisan Cycles in Congressio…The Puzzle of Midterm Loss (1988)The Puzzle of Midterm LossAn Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes (1988)An Improved Model for Predict…Presidential Coattails in Historical Perspective (1984)Presidential Coattails in His…Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models (1984)Forecasting presidential elec…Political Control of the Economy. (1979)Political Control of the Econ…The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President (1978)The Effect of Economic Events…Political Control of the Economy (1978)Political Control of the Econ…Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections (1975)Determinants of the Outcomes …Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964 (1971)Short-Term Fluctuations in U.…Women and Power: Unpopular, Unwilling, or Held Back? A Comment (2019)Women and Power: Unpopular, U…Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting (2016)Winners and Losers in Interna…Return Volatility Around National Elections: Evidence from India (2015)Return Volatility Around Nati…Limitations of Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging for forecasting social science problems (2015)Limitations of Ensemble Bayes…Improving forecasts using equally weighted predictors (2015)Improving forecasts using equ…Uncertainty, Electoral Incentives and Political Myopia (2013)Uncertainty, Electoral Incent…Exploiting Friends-and-Neighbors to Estimate Coattail Effects (2013)Exploiting Friends-and-Neighb…Price-earnings changes during US presidential election cycles: voter uncertainty and other determinants (2010)Price-earnings changes during…Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson (1970)Economic Self-Interest and Political Behavior (1982)The Political Business Cycle after 25 Years (2000)E LECTORAL AND P ARTISAN C YCLES IN E CONOMIC P OLICIES AND O UTCOMES (2002)The Political Business Cycle (1975)Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans (1977)Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy (1983)Alternative Approaches to the Political Business Cycle (1989)Electoral business cycle in industrial democracies (1993)A Theory of Divided Government (1996)The Handbook of Social Psychology (1969)Economic Retrospective Voting in American National Elections: A Micro-Analysis (1978)American journal of political science (1983)The Ecological Fallacy Revisited: Aggregate- versus Individual-level Findings on Economics and Elections, and Sociotropic Voting (1983)The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results (2008)Handbook of Social Psychology (2013)Sociotropic Politics: The American Case (1981)Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. By Morris P. Fiorina. (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1981. Pp. xii + 249. $35.00, cloth; $9.95, paper.) (1982)Economic Voting and the Welfare State: A Cross-National Analysis (1995)Congressional distributive politics and state economic performance (1999)Partisan bias in economic news: Evidence on the agenda-setting behavior of U.S. newspapers (2011)An Economic Theory of Democracy. (1958)The American Voter. By A. Campbell, P. Converse, W. Miller, and D. Stokes. (New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1960. Pp. viii, 573. $8.50.) (1960)The Responsible Electorate (1966)Economic Discontent and Political Behavior: The Role of Personal Grievances and Collective Economic Judgments in Congressional Voting (1979)Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes (2000)An Economic Theory of Democracy (1960)Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable? (1993)Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies (2005)Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy (2009)Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Research (1963)Are Regional Elections really ‘Second-Order’ Elections? (2012)Elections and the Political Order (1967)Elections and The Political Order. (1967)Contesting the European Union? Why the Dutch and the French Rejected the European Constitution (2010)Political Machines at Work Voter Mobilization and Electoral Subversion in the Workplace (2014)Incumbent performance and electoral control (1986)The Politics of Blame Avoidance (1986)Democracy and dictatorship revisited (2009)Value Change in Industrial Societies (1987)Politics, Institutions, and Welfare Spending in Industrialized Democracies, 1960–82 (1992)
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References

  • 1971Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–19641,597 cited
  • 1979Political Control of the Economy.1,306 cited
  • 1978Political Control of the Economy1,245 cited
  • 1978The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President971 cited
  • 1975Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections775 cited
  • 2016General Economic Conditions and National Elections428 cited
  • 1989Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy237 cited
  • 1988The Puzzle of Midterm Loss219 cited
  • 1988An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes181 cited
  • 1990Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote: A Review of the Macrolevel Evidence175 cited
  • 2000Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections173 cited
  • 1994Testing Macroeconometric Models147 cited
  • 1984Presidential Coattails in Historical Perspective147 cited
  • 1984Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models137 cited
  • 2010THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC EVENTS ON VOTES FOR PRESIDENT: 1984 Update110 cited
  • 1990Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote

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108 cited

Cited by

  • 2016Winners and Losers in International Trade: The Effects on U.S. Presidential Voting76 cited
  • 2013Uncertainty, Electoral Incentives and Political Myopia71 cited
  • 2013Exploiting Friends-and-Neighbors to Estimate Coattail Effects61 cited
  • 2015Limitations of Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging for forecasting social science problems54 cited
  • 2015Improving forecasts using equally weighted predictors49 cited
  • 2010Price-earnings changes during US presidential election cycles: voter uncertainty and other determinants34 cited
  • 2015Return Volatility Around National Elections: Evidence from India28 cited
  • 2019Women and Power: Unpopular, Unwilling, or Held Back? A Comment22 cited