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Comparing density forecast models
16 references·16 citing·27 second hopsampled
Comparing density forecast models (2007)Comparing density forecast modelsA Long Memory Property of Stock Market Returns and a New Model (2010)A Long Memory Property of Sto…A Test for Superior Predictive Ability (2005)A Test for Superior Predictiv…Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review (2003)Forecasting Volatility in Fin…Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable (2000)Investing for the Long Run wh…Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management (1998)Evaluating Density Forecasts …Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices (1996)Recovering Probability Distri…Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility (1996)Modeling and pricing long mem…Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Asymptotic Inference about Pr…Hyperbolic Distributions in Finance (1995)Hyperbolic Distributions in F…Threshold heteroskedastic models (1994)Threshold heteroskedastic mod…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyOn the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)On the Relation between the E…A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model (1993)A long memory property of sto…Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Conditional Heteroskedasticit…Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Generalized autoregressive co…Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Autoregressive Conditional He…Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty (2019)Large-scale portfolio allocat…Combining density forecasts using focused scoring rules (2017)Combining density forecasts u…Value-at-Risk under Lévy GARCH models: Evidence from global stock markets (2016)Value-at-Risk under Lévy GARC…Connecting the Dots: Econometric Methods for Uncovering Networks with an Application to the Australian Financial Institutions (2015)Connecting the Dots: Economet…Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty (2013)Measuring output gap nowcast …Are macroeconomic variables useful for forecasting the distribution of U.S. inflation? (2013)Are macroeconomic variables u…Money–Income Granger-Causality in Quantiles (2012)Money–Income Granger-Causalit…Modeling Realized Covariances and Returns (2012)Modeling Realized Covariances…The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index (2011)The information content of th…Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails (2011)Likelihood-based scoring rule…Retrieving risk neutral densities from European option prices based on the principle of maximum entropy (2010)Retrieving risk neutral densi…Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts (2010)Out-of-sample comparison of c…Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations (2010)Multivariate semi-nonparametr…Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness (2010)Evaluating density forecasts:…Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions? (2010)Do high-frequency measures of…A Multi-Horizon Comparison of Density Forecasts for the S&P 500 Using Index Returns and Option Prices (2010)A Multi-Horizon Comparison of…Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH (1995)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility (2008)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Value-at-Risk Prediction: A Comparison of Alternative Strategies (2005)Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Financial time series forecasting model based on CEEMDAN and LSTM (2018)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances (1992)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2001)Testing Density Forecasts, With Applications to Risk Management (2001)The Copula-GARCH model of conditional dependencies: An international stock market application (2006)A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? (2005)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (2001)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Multivariate GARCH models: a surveyEmerging equity market volatility (1997)Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns (2006)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)
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References

  • 1986Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity22,329 cited
  • 1982Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation20,684 cited
  • 1991Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach10,268 cited
  • 1993On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks9,041 cited
  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1993A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model3,257 cited
  • 1994Threshold heteroskedastic models2,294 cited
  • 1998Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management1,452 cited
  • 1996Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability1,415 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review1,373 cited
  • 2000Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable1,372 cited
  • 2005A Test for Superior Predictive Ability1,227 cited
  • 1996Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility1,208 cited
  • 1996Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices1,086 cited
  • 2010A Long Memory Property of Stock Market Returns and a New Model981 cited

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  • 1995Hyperbolic Distributions in Finance959 cited
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    • 2011Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails149 cited
    • 2010Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?147 cited
    • 2010Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness146 cited
    • 2012Modeling Realized Covariances and Returns92 cited
    • 2010A Multi-Horizon Comparison of Density Forecasts for the S&P 500 Using Index Returns and Option Prices71 cited
    • 2010Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts69 cited
    • 2015Connecting the Dots: Econometric Methods for Uncovering Networks with an Application to the Australian Financial Institutions63 cited
    • 2013Are macroeconomic variables useful for forecasting the distribution of U.S. inflation?58 cited
    • 2011The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index54 cited
    • 2012Money–Income Granger-Causality in Quantiles52 cited
    • 2019Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty49 cited
    • 2010Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations44 cited
    • 2017Combining density forecasts using focused scoring rules40 cited
    • 2016Value-at-Risk under Lévy GARCH models: Evidence from global stock markets39 cited
    • 2010Retrieving risk neutral densities from European option prices based on the principle of maximum entropy37 cited
    • 2013Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty31 cited