Do We Know Whom to Serve? Issues in Using Risk Factors to Identify Dropouts

Philip Gleason · Mark Dynarski

169 citations0/0 files storedJournal of Education for Students Placed at Risk (JESPAR)

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Educational Outcomes and Influences Higher Education Research Studies Evasion and Academic Success Factors

Abstract

This article analyzes the effectiveness of widely used risk factors for identifying students who will drop out of school. The findings indicate that nearly all risk factors are not effective predictors of dropping out. The findings suggest that dropout prevention programs often serve students who would not have dropped out, and do not serve students who would have dropped out, which has implications for program effectiveness.

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1983Limited-dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics 1989Withdrawing From School 1931The review of educational research.1991The Epidemic Theory of Ghettos and Neighborhood Effects on Dropping Out and Teenage Childbearing 1980Social Background and School Continuation Decisions 1986Who Drops Out of High School and Why? Findings from a National Study 1983Dropping Out of High School: The Influence of Race, Sex, and Family Background 1991Childhood events and circumstances influencing high school completion

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2007Dropout Risk Factors and Exemplary Programs: A Technical Report.2010Grades and Graduation: A Longitudinal Risk Perspective to Identify Student Dropouts 2002How Can We Help? What We Have Learned From Recent Federal Dropout Prevention Evaluations 2007Shades of disengagement: high school dropouts speak out 2012Examining the Multiple Trajectories Associated with Dropping Out of High School: A Growth Mixture Model Analysis

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