Examining the Multiple Trajectories Associated with Dropping Out of High School: A Growth Mixture Model Analysis

Alex J. Bowers · Ryan Sprott

109 citations0/0 files storedThe Journal of Educational Research

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Educational Outcomes and Influences Higher Education Research Studies School Choice and Performance

Abstract

Historically, students who fail to graduate from secondary school are considered as a single category of school dropouts. However, emerging literature indicates that there may be multiple subgroups of high school dropouts, termed a dropout typology. The authors’ purpose was to assess the extent to which a typology of dropouts was present in a large national dataset and to estimate the influence of the known covariates of dropping out on each of the subgroups. A growth mixture model was estimated using the Education Longitudinal Study 2002 (National Center for Education Statistics, n.d.) dataset and noncumulative grade point average during the first 3 semesters of high school. The model identified 2 main subgroups associated with dropping out, which accounted for 24.6% of the sample but contained 91.8% of the dropouts.

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References

2004School Engagement: Potential of the Concept, State of the Evidence 2007Deciding on the Number of Classes in Latent Class Analysis and Growth Mixture Modeling: A Monte Carlo Simulation Study 2007An Introduction to Latent Class Growth Analysis and Growth Mixture Modeling 2000Integrating Person‐Centered and Variable‐Centered Analyses: Growth Mixture Modeling With Latent Trajectory Classes 1990At the Threshold: The Developing Adolescent 1989Withdrawing From School 2004Latent Variable Analysis: Growth Mixture Modeling and Related Techniques for Longitudinal Data 1995Dropping Out of Middle School: A Multilevel Analysis of Students and Schools

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2016Predicting dropout using student- and school-level factors: An ecological perspective.2012Why Tenth Graders Fail to Finish High School: A Dropout Typology Latent Class Analysis 2013On the Wrong Track: How Tracking is Associated with Dropping Out of High School 2019Classroom Assessment and Educational Measurement 2016Principal Turnover: Are There Different Types of Principals Who Move From or Leave Their Schools? A Latent Class Analysis of the 2007–2008 Schools and Staffing Survey and the 2008–2009 Principal Follow-Up Survey

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