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ArticleDisjunction errors in qualitative likelihood judgment

Bruce W. Carlson1989

Article1989

Disjunction errors in qualitative likelihood judgment

Bruce W. Carlson · J. Frank Yates

54 citations·0/0 files stored·Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

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References

1979Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk 1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 1969Intransitivity of preferences.1971Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions.

Cited by

2004The Dud-Alternative Effect in Likelihood Judgment.2016Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account 2017The rational status of quantum cognition.2001The role of pragmatic rules in the conjunction fallacy 2016Quantum cognition and Bell’s inequality: A model for probabilistic judgment bias 2015Lax monitoring versus logical intuition: The determinants of confidence in conjunction fallacy

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Details

Year1989

Typearticle

Published1989-12-01

VenueOrganizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

ISSN-L0749-5978

Languageen

Citations54

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.1016/0749-5978(89)90014-9

openalex_workW2149159227

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1998Conditional Probabilities, Potential Surprise, and the Conjunction Fallacy

2005Age and probabilistic reasoning: Biases in conjunctive, disjunctive and Bayesian judgements in early and late adulthood