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Disjunction errors in qualitative likelihood judgment
16 references·16 citing·33 second hopsampled
Disjunction errors in qualitative likelihood judgment (1989)Disjunction errors in qualitative likelih…Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Prospect theory: An analysis …Conjunction errors: Evidence for multiple judgment procedures, including “signed summation” (1986)Conjunction errors: Evidence …The Conjunction Fallacy (1984)The Conjunction FallacyJudgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning. (1983)The use of statistical heuris…Strategies for multiattribute binary choice. (1983)Strategies for multiattribute…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgments of and by representativeness (1982)Judgments of and by represent…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score (1982)External correspondence: Deco…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect Theory: An Analysis …An investigation of the relations among probability estimates (1976)An investigation of the relat…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. (1971)Reversals of preference betwe…Intransitivity of preferences. (1969)Intransitivity of preferences.“Good” Probability Assessors (1968)“Good” Probability AssessorsAn overview of the quantum cognition research program (2025)An overview of the quantum co…Random variation and systematic biases in probability estimation (2020)Random variation and systemat…The rational status of quantum cognition. (2017)The rational status of quantu…Quantum cognition and Bell’s inequality: A model for probabilistic judgment bias (2016)Quantum cognition and Bell’s …Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account (2016)Explaining High Conjunction F…The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model (2015)The Conjunction and Disjuncti…Lax monitoring versus logical intuition: The determinants of confidence in conjunction fallacy (2015)Lax monitoring versus logical…What is The Evidence for Quantum Like Interference Effects in Human Judgments and Decision Behavior? (2010)What is The Evidence for Quan…On a General Bayesian Pattern Logic of Frequency-Based Logical Inclusion Fallacies (2009)On a General Bayesian Pattern…Fallacies in probability judgments for conjunctions and disjunctions of everyday events (2008)Fallacies in probability judg…Reasoning about complex probabilistic concepts in childhood (2006)Reasoning about complex proba…Age and probabilistic reasoning: Biases in conjunctive, disjunctive and Bayesian judgements in early and late adulthood (2005)Age and probabilistic reasoni…The Dud-Alternative Effect in Likelihood Judgment. (2004)The Dud-Alternative Effect in…An associative framework for probability judgement: An application to biases. (2003)An associative framework for …The role of pragmatic rules in the conjunction fallacy (2001)The role of pragmatic rules i…Conditional Probabilities, Potential Surprise, and the Conjunction Fallacy (1998)Conditional Probabilities, Po…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The extended contact effect: Knowledge of cross-group friendships and prejudice. (1997)The Career of Metaphor. (2005)The theory of decision making. (1954)Individual Choice Behavior (1962)Formative assessment and the design of instructional systems (1989)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Measuring Utility by a Single-Response Sequential Method (1964) (1974)Contingent weighting in judgment and choice. (1988)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning (1991)Explicating dynamic capabilities: the nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance (2007)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)A stitch in time: Self-regulation and proactive coping. (1997)Reflective and Impulsive Determinants of Social Behavior (2004)A framework for examining leadership in extreme contexts (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)
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References

  • 1979Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk48,459 cited
  • 1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk32,475 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1969Intransitivity of preferences.2,195 cited
  • 1971Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions.1,571 cited
  • 1983The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning.811 cited
  • 1982Judgments of and by representativeness632 cited
  • 1983Strategies for multiattribute binary choice.605 cited
  • 1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score428 cited
  • 1968“Good” Probability Assessors338 cited
  • 1984The Conjunction Fallacy187 cited
  • 1976An investigation of the relations among probability estimates117 cited
  • 1986Conjunction errors: Evidence for multiple judgment procedures, including “signed summation”

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103 cited

Cited by

  • 2004The Dud-Alternative Effect in Likelihood Judgment.51 cited
  • 2016Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account46 cited
  • 2017The rational status of quantum cognition.40 cited
  • 2001The role of pragmatic rules in the conjunction fallacy39 cited
  • 2016Quantum cognition and Bell’s inequality: A model for probabilistic judgment bias39 cited
  • 2015Lax monitoring versus logical intuition: The determinants of confidence in conjunction fallacy29 cited
  • 1998Conditional Probabilities, Potential Surprise, and the Conjunction Fallacy23 cited
  • 2005Age and probabilistic reasoning: Biases in conjunctive, disjunctive and Bayesian judgements in early and late adulthood21 cited
  • 2008Fallacies in probability judgments for conjunctions and disjunctions of everyday events20 cited
  • 2025An overview of the quantum cognition research program16 cited
  • 2003An associative framework for probability judgement: An application to biases.15 cited
  • 2015The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model14 cited
  • 2020Random variation and systematic biases in probability estimation10 cited
  • 2006Reasoning about complex probabilistic concepts in childhood8 cited
  • 2009On a General Bayesian Pattern Logic of Frequency-Based Logical Inclusion Fallacies6 cited
  • 2010What is The Evidence for Quantum Like Interference Effects in Human Judgments and Decision Behavior?5 cited