Making Time Stand Still: A Response to Sober's Counter‐Example to the Principle of the Common Cause

Abstract

In a recent article, Elliot Sober responds to challenges to a counter‐example that he posed some years earlier to the Principle of the Common Cause (PCC). I agree that Sober has indeed produced a genuine counter‐example to the PCC, but argue against the methodological moral that Sober wishes to draw from it. Contrary to Sober, I argue that the possibility of exceptions to the PCC does not undermine its status as a central assumption for methods that endeavor to draw causal conclusions from statistical data. 1The PCC and the counter‐example 2Making non‐stationary time series stand still 3Sober's alternative

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