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ArticleMeasurement of subjective probability

Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein1970

Article1970

Measurement of subjective probability

Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein

69 citations·0/0 files stored·Acta Psychologica

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Psychometric Methodologies and Testing Forecasting Techniques and Applications

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References

1958Theory and Methods of Scaling 1937La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations 1959Theory and Methods of Scaling 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.1968“Good” Probability Assessors 1967The Quantification of Judgment: Some Methodological Suggestions

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2012LOGARITHMIC MARKETS CORING RULES FOR MODULAR COMBINATORIAL INFORMATION AGGREGATION 1998Axiomatic Characterization of the Quadratic Scoring Rule 2018Metacognitive Failure as a Feature of Those Holding Radical Beliefs 1971Probabilistic Prediction: Some Experimental Results 2013Choosing a Strictly Proper Scoring Rule 2013Forecast aggregation via recalibration 1983Effective Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Forecasts 1975

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1982Confidence marking: Its use in testingarticle · 6 shared references 1996Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilitiesarticle · 4 shared references 1973Psychological effects of proper scoring rulesarticle · 4 shared references 1970Scoring rules in probability assessment and evaluationarticle · 3 shared references 2007Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rulesarticle · 3 shared references 1971Probabilistic Prediction: Some Experimental Resultsarticle · 3 shared references

Details

Year1970

Typearticle

Published1970-01-01

VenueActa Psychologica

ISSN-L0001-6918

Languageen

Citations69

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.1016/0001-6918(70)90013-2

openalex_workW2154028987

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Expert judgment about uncertainty: Bayesian decision making in realistic settings