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ArticleBase Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab Problem

Michael H. Birnbaum1983

Article1983

Base Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab Problem

Michael H. Birnbaum

284 citations·0/0 files stored·The American Journal of Psychology

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Categorization, perception, and language Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1973On the psychology of prediction.1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.1980The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments 1982Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty 1982Evidential impact of base rates 1979Source credibility in social judgment: Bias, expertise, and the judge's point of view.1976Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation

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1986Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.1989Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability.2002Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability 1991From tools to theories: A heuristic of discovery in cognitive psychology.2004Towards a balanced social psychology: Causes, consequences, and cures for the problem-seeking approach to social behavior and cognition

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Details

Year1983

Typearticle

Published1983-01-01

VenueThe American Journal of Psychology

ISSN-L0002-9556

Languageen

Citations284

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Identifiers

doi10.2307/1422211

openalex_workW2155282357

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1986

Assessing uncertainty in physical constants

2007The rationality of informal argumentation: A Bayesian approach to reasoning fallacies.

2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives