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Cross-sectional forecasts of the equity premium☆
16 references·16 citing·26 second hopsampled
Cross-sectional forecasts of the equity premium☆ (2006)Cross-sectional forecasts of the equity p…By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)By Force of Habit: A Consumpt…Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk (1994)Contrarian Investment, Extrap…The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)The Cross-Section of Expected…Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root (1992)Efficient Tests for an Autore…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)The relationship between retu…Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much…A critique of the asset pricing theory's tests Part I: On past and potential testability of the theory (1977)A critique of the asset prici…The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)The arbitrage theory of capit…THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS …An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)An Intertemporal Capital Asse…Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing (1972)Capital Market Equilibrium wi…CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEOR…Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)Dividend Policy, Growth, and …DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMES OF CORPORATIONS AMONG DIVIDENDS, RETAINED EARNINGS AND TAXES (1956)DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMES OF CO…Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy* (2020)Financial Market Risk Percept…Investigation of market efficiency and Financial Stability between S&P 500 and London Stock Exchange: Monthly and yearly Forecasting of Time Series Stock Returns using ARMA model (2016)Investigation of market effic…Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits (2015)Stock return predictability a…Hard Times (2013)Hard TimesThe “Fed Model” and the Predictability of Stock Returns (2012)The “Fed Model” and the Predi…Share Issuance and Factor Timing (2012)Share Issuance and Factor Tim…Predicting Market Returns Using Aggregate Implied Cost of Capital (2012)Predicting Market Returns Usi…Market Expectations in the Cross Section of Present Values (2011)Market Expectations in the Cr…Improving the predictability of real economic activity and asset returns with forward variances inferred from option portfolios (2011)Improving the predictability …Predictive Regressions with Time-Varying Coefficients (2009)Predictive Regressions with T…Viewpoint: Estimating the equity premium (2008)Viewpoint: Estimating the equ…Multiple-Predictor Regressions: Hypothesis Testing (2008)Multiple-Predictor Regression…Common risk factors in bank stocks (2008)Common risk factors in bank s…Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns (2006)Growth or Glamour? Fundamenta…Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation (2006)Capital Account Liberalizatio…Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis (2005)Money Illusion in the Stock M…The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring (1984)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment (2008)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies (1996)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns (2006)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Time Series Regression with a Unit Root (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test (1999)Unit root tests for panel data (2001)A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence (2007)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Determinants of corporate borrowing (1977)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Relative Income, Happiness, and Utility: An Explanation for the Easterlin Paradox and Other Puzzles (2008)
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References

  • 1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*19,431 cited
  • 1992The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns17,251 cited
  • 1976The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing7,081 cited
  • 1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]6,743 cited
  • 1973An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model6,557 cited
  • 1961Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares6,554 cited
  • 1981The relationship between return and market value of common stocks5,928 cited
  • 1999By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior5,088 cited
  • 1992Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root

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4,234 cited
  • 1994Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk4,198 cited
  • 1980Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?4,020 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 1956DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMES OF CORPORATIONS AMONG DIVIDENDS, RETAINED EARNINGS AND TAXES3,426 cited
  • 1972Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing3,097 cited
  • 1977A critique of the asset pricing theory's tests Part I: On past and potential testability of the theory3,006 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2005Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis205 cited
    • 2006Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation202 cited
    • 2011Market Expectations in the Cross Section of Present Values198 cited
    • 2008Viewpoint: Estimating the equity premium195 cited
    • 2012Predicting Market Returns Using Aggregate Implied Cost of Capital183 cited
    • 2008Multiple-Predictor Regressions: Hypothesis Testing175 cited
    • 2015Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits175 cited
    • 2009Predictive Regressions with Time-Varying Coefficients149 cited
    • 2006Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns125 cited
    • 2011Improving the predictability of real economic activity and asset returns with forward variances inferred from option portfolios111 cited
    • 2020Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy*109 cited
    • 2016Investigation of market efficiency and Financial Stability between S&P 500 and London Stock Exchange: Monthly and yearly Forecasting of Time Series Stock Returns using ARMA model108 cited
    • 2012The “Fed Model” and the Predictability of Stock Returns103 cited
    • 2013Hard Times100 cited
    • 2008Common risk factors in bank stocks96 cited
    • 2012Share Issuance and Factor Timing93 cited