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tay's as good as cay
16 references·16 citing·41 second hopsampled
tay's as good as cay (2004)tay's as good as cayExpected returns and expected dividend growth (2005)Expected returns and expected…Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics? (2003)Spurious Regressions in Finan…Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios (2003)Predicting the Equity Premium…Stock return predictability and model uncertainty (2002)Stock return predictability a…Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth…Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns (2000)Firm Size and Cyclical Variat…Predictive regressions (1999)Predictive regressionsImplementing Statistical Criteria to Select Return Forecasting Models: What Do We Learn? (1999)Implementing Statistical Crit…Book-to-market, dividend yield, and expected market returns: A time-series analysis (1997)Book-to-market, dividend yiel…Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Common risk factors in the re…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets (1986)Predicting returns in the sto…Asset returns and inflation (1977)Asset returns and inflationImproving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables (2018)Improving the predictability …Improving the predictability of stock returns with Bitcoin prices (2018)Improving the predictability …Can consumer price index predict gold price returns? (2016)Can consumer price index pred…Time‐Varying Risk–Return Trade‐off in the Stock Market (2013)Time‐Varying Risk–Return Trad…The “out-of-sample” performance of long run risk models (2012)The “out-of-sample” performan…Linking wealth and labour income with stock returns and government bond yields (2012)Linking wealth and labour inc…A century of equity premium predictability and the consumption–wealth ratio: An international perspective (2009)A century of equity premium p…Re‐Examining the Consumption–Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty (2008)Re‐Examining the Consumption–…Does Consumption Respond More to Housing Wealth Than to Financial Market Wealth? If So, Why? (2007)Does Consumption Respond More…Proprietary Income, Entrepreneurial Risk, and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns (2006)Proprietary Income, Entrepren…Time Variation in the Covariance between Stock Returns and Consumption Growth (2005)Time Variation in the Covaria…On the Relationships Between Real Consumption, Income, and Wealth (2005)On the Relationships Between …Empirical proxies for the consumption–wealth ratio (2005)Empirical proxies for the con…tay's as good as cay: Reply (2004)tay's as good as cay: ReplyHow to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns (2002)How to Discount Cashflows wit…A Note on the Cointegration of Consumption, Income, and Wealth (2002)A Note on the Cointegration o…CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)An analysis of intertemporal and cross-sectional determinants of earnings response coefficients (1989)The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums (1991)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)A five-factor asset pricing model (2014)The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)Industry costs of equity (1997)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence (2007)Forecasting Stock Returns (2013)International Stock Return Predictability: What Is the Role of the United States? (2013)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models (1991)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies (2011)Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)
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References

  • 1993Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds26,615 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 1988The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors3,784 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 1977Asset returns and inflation2,701 cited
  • 1986The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors2,425 cited
  • 2001Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns2,187 cited
  • 1986Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets1,715 cited
  • 1999Predictive regressions1,614 cited
  • 2003Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios764 cited
  • 1997Book-to-market, dividend yield, and expected market returns: A time-series analysis763 cited
  • 2000Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns656 cited
  • 2002Stock return predictability and model uncertainty636 cited
  • 2003Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics?574 cited
  • 1999Implementing Statistical Criteria to Select Return Forecasting Models: What Do We Learn?533 cited

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Expected returns and expected dividend growth
433 cited

Cited by

  • 2018Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables114 cited
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  • 2018Improving the predictability of stock returns with Bitcoin prices83 cited
  • 2012The “out-of-sample” performance of long run risk models81 cited
  • 2016Can consumer price index predict gold price returns?65 cited
  • 2002How to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns51 cited
  • 2004tay's as good as cay: Reply41 cited
  • 2009A century of equity premium predictability and the consumption–wealth ratio: An international perspective40 cited
  • 2006Proprietary Income, Entrepreneurial Risk, and the Predictability of U.S. Stock Returns40 cited
  • 2005On the Relationships Between Real Consumption, Income, and Wealth38 cited
  • 2013Time‐Varying Risk–Return Trade‐off in the Stock Market37 cited
  • 2002A Note on the Cointegration of Consumption, Income, and Wealth36 cited
  • 2012Linking wealth and labour income with stock returns and government bond yields36 cited
  • 2005Empirical proxies for the consumption–wealth ratio35 cited
  • 2008Re‐Examining the Consumption–Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty33 cited