SZodixStudyAcademic Library
ShelvesOpen access
Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated
How accurate are professional forecasts in Asia? Evidence from ten countries
16 references·1 citing·46 second hopsampled
How accurate are professional forecasts in Asia? Evidence from ten countries (2015)How accurate are professional forecasts i…On the usefulness of cross-validation for directional forecast evaluation (2014)On the usefulness of cross-va…Forecast Uncertainty—Ex AnteandEx Post: U.S. Inflation and Output Growth (2013)Forecast Uncertainty—Ex Antea…What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities? (2012)What Can Survey Forecasts Tel…Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7 (2010)Accuracy, unbiasedness and ef…The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach (2008)The accuracy and efficiency o…Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model (2008)Evolution of forecast disagre…How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys (2007)How far ahead can we forecast…An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach (2007)An evaluation of the forecast…The strategy of professional forecasting☆ (2006)The strategy of professional …How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys (2006)How quickly do forecasters in…Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications (2001)Measuring predictability: the…How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth (2001)How accurate are private sect…The accuracy of European growth and inflation forecasts (2000)The accuracy of European grow…Why Are Professional Forecasters Biased? Agency versus Behavioral Explanations (1996)Why Are Professional Forecast…A new framework for analyzing survey forecasts using three-dimensional panel data (1995)A new framework for analyzing…Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications (1987)Forecasting Efficiency: Conce…Measurement of Economic Forecast Accuracy: A Systematic Overview of the Empirical Literature (2021)Measurement of Economic Forec…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data (1990)Investment and Tobin's Q (1992)Information Rigidities (2014)News-based forecasts of macroeconomic indicators: A semantic path model for interpretable predictions (2018)Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team (2021)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions (2007)Halloween or January? Yet another puzzle (2007)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements (1961)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds (2012)Applied Economic Forecasting (1967)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Forecasting Economic Time Series (1998)Directional accuracy tests of long-term interest rate forecasts (2002)The political economy of EDP fiscal forecasts: An empirical assessment (2011)Management dynamics in the knowledge economy (2016)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Herd Behavior and Investment (1988)Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation (1990)The state of macroeconomic forecasting (2002)The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting (2003)Economic Forecasting (2008)RISK PERCEPTION IN PSYCHOLOGY AND ECONOMICS (1982)Stock Prices and Social Dynamics (1984)Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience (1986)Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and Its Effect on Market Prices (2009)Why do forecasters disagree? Lessons from the term structure of cross-sectional dispersion (2010)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty (2017)ON TESTING FOR UNBIASEDNESS AND EFFICIENCY OF FORECASTS* (1990)Bias in macroeconomic forecasts (2007)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks (2009)Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles (2017)Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios (2019)Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations (2020)Stability in Competition (1929)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)A Simple Model of Herd Behavior (1992)Reputational cheap talk (2006)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 2012What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities?846 cited
  • 1987Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications374 cited
  • 2006The strategy of professional forecasting☆320 cited
  • 1996Why Are Professional Forecasters Biased? Agency versus Behavioral Explanations254 cited
  • 1995A new framework for analyzing survey forecasts using three-dimensional panel data182 cited
  • 2001How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth181 cited
  • 2008Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model157 cited
  • 2000The accuracy of European growth and inflation forecasts133 cited
  • 2010Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7124 cited
  • 2001Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications119 cited
  • 2013Forecast Uncertainty—Ex AnteandEx Post: U.S. Inflation and Output Growth105 cited
  • 2006How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys86 cited
  • 2008The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach82 cited
  • 2007How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys81 cited

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

  • 2014On the usefulness of cross-validation for directional forecast evaluation80 cited
  • 2007An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach75 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2021Measurement of Economic Forecast Accuracy: A Systematic Overview of the Empirical Literature33 cited