Using Survival Analysis to Understand Graduation of Students With Disabilities

Laura A. Schifter

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Disability Education and Employment Educational Outcomes and Influences Collaborative Teaching and Inclusion

Abstract

This study examined when students with disabilities graduated high school and how graduation patterns differed for students based on selected demographic and educational factors. Utilizing statewide data on students with disabilities from Massachusetts from 2005 through 2012, the author conducted discrete-time survival analysis to estimate the conditional probability of high school graduation in a given year after high school entry by disability category and placement in the general education setting. Results suggest that, across all disability categories, the peak conditional probability for graduation occurs 4 years after high school entry. In addition, students with disabilities who are fully included have higher graduation probability profiles than students with disabilities who are educated in substantially-separate settings.

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References

1996Longitudinal Postschool Outcomes of Youth with Disabilities: Findings from the National Longitudinal Transition Study 2008Elementary and Secondary Education Act 2000Improving Graduation and Employment Outcomes of Students with Disabilities: Predictive Factors and Student Perspectives 2002Outcomes for Students with Learning Disabilities in Inclusive and Pullout Programs 2003Transition-Focused Education 2002Current Challenges Facing Secondary Education and Transition Services: What Research Tells Us 2006New directions in special education: eliminating ableism in policy and practice 2014Public High School Four-Year On-Time Graduation Rates and Event Dropout Rates: School Years 2010-11 and 2011-12. First Look. NCES 2014-391.

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2019Racial Differences in Special Education Identification and Placement: Evidence Across Three States 2016Middle School Reading Comprehension and Content Learning Intervention for Below-Average Readers 2022A systematic review of the literature related to dropout for students with disabilities 2024Disability Types and Children’s Schooling in Africa

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