The Contagion of Great Power War Behavior, 1495-1975

Abstract

Hypotheses regarding short-term contagion in the outbreak of war involving the Great Powers were tested using war data for the modern Great Power system, 1495-1975. The analysis demonstrates the likelihood of initiation of a new war to be slightly greater during an ongoing war but not after its termination. Neither war's incidence-its seriousness along any or all of several dimensions-nor its frequency had any impact on the subsequent outbreak of war in the period immediately following.

Cite this work

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 50 citations exist upstream.

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.