Diverging Patterns of Union Transition Among Cohabitors by Race/Ethnicity and Education: Trends and Marital Intentions in the United States

Janet Chen-Lan Kuo · R. Kelly Raley

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Family Dynamics and Relationships Marriage and Family Dynamics Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies

Abstract

The rise of cohabitation in family process among American young adults and declining rates of marriage among cohabitors are considered by some scholars as evidence for the importance of society-wide ideational shifts propelling recent changes in family. With data on two cohabiting cohorts from the NSFG 1995 and 2006-2010, the current study finds that marriage rates among cohabitors have declined steeply among those with no college degree, resulting in growing educational disparities over time. Moreover, there are no differences in marital intentions by education (or race/ethnicity) among recent cohabitors. We discuss how findings of this study speak to the changes in the dynamics of social stratification system in the United States and suggest that institutional and material constraints are at least as important as ideational accounts in understanding family change and family behavior of contemporary young adults.

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1987Europe's second demographic transition.2006Social Isolation in America: Changes in Core Discussion Networks over Two Decades 2004The deinstitutionalization of American marriage 2004Diverging destinies: How children are faring under the second demographic transition 2012Good Jobs, Bad Jobs: The Rise of Polarized and Precarious Employment Systems in the United States, 1970s to 2000s 2008Family Structure and the Reproduction of Inequalities 1995The Second Demographic Transition in Western Countries: An Interpretation 2011Good Jobs, Bad Jobs: The Rise of Polarized and Precarious Employment Systems in the United States, 1970s-2000s

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2018Marriage Markets and Intermarriage: Exchange in First Marriages and Remarriages 2019Family Change in Global Perspective: How and Why Family Systems Change 2019Change in the Stability of First Premarital Cohabitation Among Women in the United States, 1983–2013 2018The Economic Foundations of Cohabiting Couples’ Union Transitions 2018Transitions From Sexual Relationships Into Cohabitation and Beyond

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