Modeling Bus Dwell Time and Time Lost Serving Stop in China

Chao Wang · Zhirui Ye · Yuan Wang · Yueru Xu · Wei Wang

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Traffic control and management Urban Transport Systems Analysis

Abstract

The primary objective of this study was to develop a quantitative approach to estimate bus dwell time and time lost serving stop, which included acceleration and deceleration time, dead time, and time for serving boarding and alighting passengers. A polynomial model incorporating kinematics of a particle was derived for estimating bus acceleration and deceleration time. In addition, descriptive statistics methods were used to analyze dead time. A case study was conducted to show the applicability of the proposed model with data collected from the seven most common types of bus stops in China. R-square and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) were calculated to be 0.8840 and 13.20% for non-peak and 0.8387 and 13.46% for peak, indicating the method was well-validated and could be practically used in China. Further research can be conducted to investigate the effects of different weather conditions and locations on the performance of the proposed method.

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References

2003Transit capacity and quality of service manual 2007Public Transit Planning and Operation: Theory, Modeling and Practice 2004Determinants of Bus Dwell Time 1983ANALYZING TRANSIT TRAVEL TIME PERFORMANCE 2013Transit Capacity and Quality of Service Manual, Third Edition 2013Bus dwell time estimation at bus bays: A probabilistic approach 2011Bus dwell time: the effect of different fare collection systems, bus floor level and age of passengers 1992DWELL TIME RELATIONSHIPS FOR LIGHT RAIL SYSTEMS

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