Interpreting Linear Models

David Forbes Hendry

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Forecasting Techniques and Applications Economic theories and models

Abstract

Abstract Regression, linear least‐squares approximation, contingent plan, and behavioural model are distinguished as four interpretations that ‘look alike’ yet have different properties. Models of expectations formation are analysed including rational, consistent, unbiased, and economically rational expectations, the last highlighting the instrumental role of expectations in achieving plans.

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References

1987Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing 1969Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods 1963The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 1982Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation 1988Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression 1978Specification Tests in Econometrics 1988Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors 1981Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root

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