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Confidence in Aggregation of Opinions from Multiple Sources
16 references·9 citing·32 second hop
Confidence in Aggregation of Opinions from Multiple Sources (2005)Confidence in Aggregation of Opinions fro…Receiving other people’s advice: Influence and benefit (2003)Receiving other people’s advi…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingAdvice Taking in Decision Making: Egocentric Discounting and Reputation Formation (2000)Advice Taking in Decision Mak…Cueing and Cognitive Conflict in Judge-Advisor Decision Making (1995)Cueing and Cognitive Conflict…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…The Adaptive Decision Maker (1993)The Adaptive Decision MakerCombining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Demonstrability and social combination processes on mathematical intellective tasks (1986)Demonstrability and social co…The Combination of Forecasts (1983)The Combination of ForecastsOn the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Group decision and social interaction: A theory of social decision schemes. (1973)Group decision and social int…Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. (1969)Illusory correlation as an ob…Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. (1967)Genesis of popular but errone…The Theory of Committees and Elections. (1959)The Theory of Committees and …Social Choice and Individual Values (1952)Social Choice and Individual …Wisdom of the silicon crowd: LLM ensemble prediction capabilities rival human crowd accuracy (2024)Wisdom of the silicon crowd: …The Social Psychology of the Wisdom of Crowds (with a New Section on Recent Advances) (2024)The Social Psychology of the …Global–Local Incompatibility: The Misperception of Reliability in Judgment Regarding Global Variables (2020)Global–Local Incompatibility:…Group Decision-Making (2019)Group Decision-MakingThe effectiveness of imperfect weighting in advice taking (2015)The effectiveness of imperfec…Aggregating multiple probability intervals to improve their calibration (2014)Aggregating multiple probabil…Der Einfluss des Abstands zwischen Initialschätzung und Ratschlag auf die Ratschlagsnutzung (2012)Der Einfluss des Abstands zwi…Judgmental aggregation strategies depend on whether the self is involved (2010)Judgmental aggregation strate…Why Are Experts Correlated? Decomposing Correlations Between Judges (2009)Why Are Experts Correlated? D…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. (1979)Group Performance and Decision Making (2004)Computing and applying trust in web-based social networks (2005)A survey of trust in social networks (2013)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example. (1974)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)Biased assimilation and attitude polarization: The effects of prior theories on subsequently considered evidence. (1979)An Expository Development of a Mathematical Model of the Electoral Process (1970)Lessons from a Dozen Years of Group Support Systems Research: A Discussion of Lab and Field Findings (1996)Delegation and accountability in parliamentary democracies (2000)Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique (2001)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)Rethinking Partial Least Squares Path Modeling: In Praise of Simple Methods (2012)An axiomatization of Borda's rule (1974)Condorcet Social Choice Functions (1977)Leapfrog Representation and Extremism: A Study of American Voters and Their Members in Congress (2010)Marketing in Hypermedia Computer-Mediated Environments: Conceptual Foundations (1996)Determinants of Perceived Ease of Use: Integrating Control, Intrinsic Motivation, and Emotion into the Technology Acceptance Model (2000)Risk as feelings. (2001)
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References

  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1993The Adaptive Decision Maker3,507 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 1952Social Choice and Individual Values1,762 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,178 cited
  • 1969Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs.989 cited
  • 1967Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations.847 cited
  • 1959The Theory of Committees and Elections.725 cited
  • 2000Advice Taking in Decision Making: Egocentric Discounting and Reputation Formation698 cited
  • 1973Group decision and social interaction: A theory of social decision schemes.681 cited
  • 2003Receiving other people’s advice: Influence and benefit651 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1986Demonstrability and social combination processes on mathematical intellective tasks522 cited
  • 1995Cueing and Cognitive Conflict in Judge-Advisor Decision Making429 cited
  • 1983

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The Combination of Forecasts
385 cited

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  • 2020Global–Local Incompatibility: The Misperception of Reliability in Judgment Regarding Global Variables18 cited
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  • 2024The Social Psychology of the Wisdom of Crowds (with a New Section on Recent Advances)3 cited
  • 2012Der Einfluss des Abstands zwischen Initialschätzung und Ratschlag auf die Ratschlagsnutzung0 cited