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A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting
8 references·1 citing·35 second hop
A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting (2017)A human judgment approach to epidemiologi…Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err (2014)Algorithm Aversion: People Er…Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)Thinking, Fast and SlowUsing Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic (2009)Using Prediction Markets and …Decisions 2.0: the power of collective intelligence (2009)Decisions 2.0: the power of c…Weather Forecasting by Humans—Heuristics and Decision Making (2004)Weather Forecasting by Humans…Trends in Infectious Disease Mortality in the United States During the 20th Century (1999)Trends in Infectious Disease …An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)An Experimental Application o…Rational Decisions (1952)Rational DecisionsWhen expert predictions fail (2023)When expert predictions failThe Epidemiologic Transition: A Theory of the Epidemiology of Population Change (2005)Parasites, democratization, and the liberalization of values across contemporary countries (2008)Risk in Vaccine Research and Development Quantified (2013)Segregation by Design (2018)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)How to Research and Write Effective Case Studies in Meteorology (2021)The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making. (1979)Preference and belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty (1991)The trouble with overconfidence. (2008)Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment (2019)Algorithms at Work: The New Contested Terrain of Control (2019)Human Trust in Artificial Intelligence: Review of Empirical Research (2020)The Logic of Scientific Discovery. (1959)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations (2004)Wikinomics: how mass collaboration changes everything (2007)Here comes everybody: the power of organizing without organizations (2008)An Open Government Maturity Model for social media-based public engagement (2012)Emotional Dynamics in the Age of Misinformation (2015)ICT-Enabled Community Empowerment in Crisis Response: Social Media in Thailand Flooding 2011 (2015)The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis (1999)The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications (2004)The Delphi Technique: Making Sense of Consensus (2020)An Experiment in Integrating Sentiment Features for Tech Stock Prediction in Twitter (2012)Event detection in social media: A survey (2013)Predicting movie Box-office revenues by exploiting large-scale social media content (2014)Dual-Process Theories of Higher Cognition (2013)Managerial cognitive capabilities and the microfoundations of dynamic capabilities (2014)Lazy, not biased: Susceptibility to partisan fake news is better explained by lack of reasoning than by motivated reasoning (2018)Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models (2007)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 2011Thinking, Fast and Slow14,316 cited
  • 1963An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts6,052 cited
  • 2014Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err3,203 cited
  • 1952Rational Decisions975 cited
  • 1999Trends in Infectious Disease Mortality in the United States During the 20th Century876 cited
  • 2009Decisions 2.0: the power of collective intelligence437 cited
  • 2009Using Prediction Markets and Twitter to Predict a Swine Flu Pandemic145 cited
  • 2004Weather Forecasting by Humans—Heuristics and Decision Making96 cited

Cited by

  • 2023When expert predictions fail1 cited

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