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What do the experts know? Calibration, precision, and the wisdom of crowds among forensic handwriting experts
16 references·4 citing·36 second hop
What do the experts know? Calibration, precision, and the wisdom of crowds among forensic handwriting experts (2018)What do the experts know? Calibration, pr…Peak: Secrets from the New Science of Expertise (2016)Peak: Secrets from the New Sc…A hierarchy of expert performance. (2016)A hierarchy of expert perform…Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates (2014)Using cognitive models to com…Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model (2014)Combining multiple probabilit…Expressing evaluative opinions: A position statement (2011)Expressing evaluative opinion…Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward (2009)Strengthening Forensic Scienc…Strengthening forensic science in the United States : a path forward (2009)Strengthening forensic scienc…Outliers: The Story of Success (2009)Outliers: The Story of SuccessPROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION (2005)PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTIONEmpirical Assessment of Expertise (2003)Empirical Assessment of Exper…The Probability Weighting Function (1998)The Probability Weighting Fun…EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE: Evidence of Maximal Adaptation to Task Constraints (1996)EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFOR…Belief in Conspiracy Theories (1994)Belief in Conspiracy TheoriesThe role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. (1993)The role of deliberate practi…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Errors of Measurement in Statistics (1968)Errors of Measurement in Stat…A guide to ISO 21043 Forensic Sciences from the perspective of the forensic-data-science paradigm (2025)A guide to ISO 21043 Forensic…Forensic Science Decision-Making (2024)Forensic Science Decision-Mak…Testing for Calibration Discrepancy of Reported Likelihood Ratios in Forensic Science (2021)Testing for Calibration Discr…Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport (2020)Waste Reduction Strategies: F…Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function (1999)Developments in Non-Expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk (2000)Risk as feelings. (2001)Conditions of Learning (1965)The 2 Sigma Problem: The Search for Methods of Group Instruction as Effective as One-to-One Tutoring (1984)Flow: the psychology of optimal experience (1990)Long-term working memory. (1995)Child Development and Emergent Literacy (1998)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)LIFESPAN PSYCHOLOGY: Theory and Application to Intellectual Functioning (1999)Wisdom: A metaheuristic (pragmatic) to orchestrate mind and virtue toward excellence. (2000)The Influence of Experience and Deliberate Practice on the Development of Superior Expert Performance (2006)The Open and Closed Mind (1960)Social Traps and the Problem of Trust (2005)Measuring Belief in Conspiracy Theories: The Generic Conspiracist Beliefs Scale (2013)Measuring Individual Differences in Generic Beliefs in Conspiracy Theories Across Cultures: Conspiracy Mentality Questionnaire (2013)Parameter-Free Elicitation of Utility and Probability Weighting Functions (2000)Salience Theory of Choice Under Risk (2012)Choices, Values, and Frames (2013)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Consistency and variability among college students in rating their teachers and courses: A review and analysis (1977)The reliability and validity of self-reported weight and height (1982)Design and Analysis of Reliability Studies (1991)On Passion for Life Activities (2010)Overeducation and Mismatch in the Labor Market (2011)Talent Identification in Sport: A Systematic Review (2017)Accuracy and reliability of forensic latent fingerprint decisions (2011)Are Forensic Experts Biased by the Side That Retained Them? (2013)The forensic confirmation bias: Problems, perspectives, and proposed solutions. (2013)The Oxford Handbook of Language and Law (2012)
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References

  • 1993The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance.9,542 cited
  • 1996EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE: Evidence of Maximal Adaptation to Task Constraints2,136 cited
  • 1998The Probability Weighting Function1,998 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 2009Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward1,298 cited
  • 1994Belief in Conspiracy Theories1,089 cited
  • 2009Outliers: The Story of Success1,048 cited
  • 2005PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION1,041 cited
  • 2009Strengthening forensic science in the United States : a path forward957 cited
  • 1968Errors of Measurement in Statistics481 cited
  • 2003Empirical Assessment of Expertise198 cited
  • 2016Peak: Secrets from the New Science of Expertise184 cited
  • 2014Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model148 cited
  • 2011Expressing evaluative opinions: A position statement116 cited
  • 2016A hierarchy of expert performance.116 cited
  • 2014Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates

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49 cited

Cited by

  • 2020Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport79 cited
  • 2021Testing for Calibration Discrepancy of Reported Likelihood Ratios in Forensic Science15 cited
  • 2025A guide to ISO 21043 Forensic Sciences from the perspective of the forensic-data-science paradigm14 cited
  • 2024Forensic Science Decision-Making3 cited