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Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps
16 references·16 citing·34 second hopsampled
Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps (2018)Forecasting the oil futures price volatil…Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility (2015)Good Volatility, Bad Volatili…The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility (2014)The VIX, the variance premium…Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Volatility forecast compariso…Realized kernels in practice: trades and quotes (2009)Realized kernels in practice:…Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise (2008)Designing Realized Kernels to…A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility (2008)A Simple Approximate Long-Mem…Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility (2007)Roughing It Up: Including Jum…Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics (2007)Jumps in Financial Markets: A…The Relative Contribution of Jumps to Total Price Variance (2005)The Relative Contribution of …A Test for Superior Predictive Ability (2005)A Test for Superior Predictiv…A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? (2005)A forecast comparison of vola…Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps (2004)Power and Bipower Variation w…Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Modeling and Forecasting Real…Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, …Lag Order and Critical Values of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test (1995)Lag Order and Critical Values…Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Generalized autoregressive co…More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting (2024)More is better? The impact of…Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices (2022)Forecasting gold volatility w…The effect of green energy, global environmental indexes, and stock markets in predicting oil price crashes: Evidence from explainable machine learning (2021)The effect of green energy, g…Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests (2021)Risk aversion and the predict…Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know? (2021)Oil price volatility forecast…Forecasting stock return volatility: The role of shrinkage approaches in a data‐rich environment (2021)Forecasting stock return vola…On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks (2020)On realized volatility of cru…Forecasting the Chinese stock market volatility with international market volatilities: The role of regime switching (2020)Forecasting the Chinese stock…VIX and volatility forecasting: A new insight (2019)VIX and volatility forecastin…The role of jumps in the agricultural futures market on forecasting stock market volatility: New evidence (2019)The role of jumps in the agri…Out‐of‐sample volatility prediction: A new mixed‐frequency approach (2019)Out‐of‐sample volatility pred…Out-of-sample prediction of the oil futures market volatility: A comparison of new and traditional combination approaches (2019)Out-of-sample prediction of t…Oil financialization and volatility forecast: Evidence from multidimensional predictors (2019)Oil financialization and vola…Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence (2019)Forecasting oil price volatil…Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: The role of leverage effect and uncertainty (2019)Forecasting Bitcoin volatilit…Forecasting oil futures price volatility: New evidence from realized range-based volatility (2018)Forecasting oil futures price…The distribution of realized stock return volatility (2001)Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes (2012)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH (1995)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2014)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous (1976)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation (2005)Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise (2006)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion (1999)Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations (2005)Microstructure noise in the continuous case: The pre-averaging approach (2008)Realized GARCH: a joint model for returns and realized measures of volatility (2011)A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model (1993)Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia (2011)Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks (2022)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms (2014)Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards (2004)Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns (2006)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)
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References

  • 1986Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity22,329 cited
  • 2003Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility3,887 cited
  • 1998Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts3,380 cited
  • 2008A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility2,526 cited
  • 2004Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps2,033 cited
  • 2005A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?1,783 cited
  • 2007Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility1,448 cited
  • 2010Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies1,281 cited
  • 2008Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise1,232 cited
  • 2005A Test for Superior Predictive Ability1,227 cited
  • 2005The Relative Contribution of Jumps to Total Price Variance890 cited
  • 2007Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics864 cited
  • 2014The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility812 cited
  • 2015Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility772 cited
  • 1995

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Lag Order and Critical Values of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test
687 cited
  • 2009Realized kernels in practice: trades and quotes642 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2020On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks62 cited
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    • 2019Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence58 cited
    • 2019Out-of-sample prediction of the oil futures market volatility: A comparison of new and traditional combination approaches54 cited
    • 2021Forecasting stock return volatility: The role of shrinkage approaches in a data‐rich environment53 cited
    • 2019Out‐of‐sample volatility prediction: A new mixed‐frequency approach48 cited
    • 2019VIX and volatility forecasting: A new insight47 cited
    • 2020Forecasting the Chinese stock market volatility with international market volatilities: The role of regime switching46 cited
    • 2024More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting45 cited
    • 2022Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices44 cited
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