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Hindsight bias is not a bias

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References

2000Knowledge and Its Limits5,056 cited
2002Knowledge and its Limits2,789 cited
1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.801 cited
2007Reflection and Disagreement660 cited
2007Oxford Studies In Epistemology602 cited
2008Rationality for Mortals499 cited
2012Hindsight Bias456 cited
2010Higher‐Order Evidence 1386 cited
2005Respecting the Evidence217 cited
2007Does Murphy’s Law Apply in Epistemology? Self-Doubt and Rational Ideals215 cited
2007Hindsight Bias In Legal Decision Making144 cited
1999Juror judgments in civil cases: Hindsight effects on judgments of liability for punitive damages.95 cited
2004Sunk Costs, Rationality, and Acting for the Sake of the Past66 cited
1990Second‐Guessing the Jury: Stereotypic and Hindsight Biases in Perceptions of Court Cases163 cited

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2022Bias

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53 cited

2021Good Guesses33 cited

2021The Accuracy–Coherence Trade-Off in Cognition30 cited

2020Reasoning with heuristics29 cited

2023Philosophy, Bullshit, and Peer Review22 cited

2022Perspective-taking and hindsight bias: When the target is oneself and/or a peer3 cited

2023Assessing the Evidence for Outcome Bias and Hindsight Bias3 cited

2021Taking a naïve other's perspective to debias the hindsight bias: Did it backfire?3 cited

2024Bayesians Commit the Gambler's Fallacy1 cited