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Why the Conjunction Effect Is Rarely a Fallacy: How Learning Influences Uncertainty and the Conjunction Rule
16 references·2 citing·38 second hop
Why the Conjunction Effect Is Rarely a Fallacy: How Learning Influences Uncertainty and the Conjunction Rule (2018)Why the Conjunction Effect Is Rarely a Fa…On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability versus inductive confirmation. (2012)On the determinants of the co…Making sense of surprise: An investigation of the factors influencing surprise judgments. (2011)Making sense of surprise: An …Probability theory, not the very guide of life. (2009)Probability theory, not the v…Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy (2008)Probability, confirmation, an…Bayesian Rationality (2007)Bayesian RationalityThe conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction? (2004)The conjunction fallacy: a mi…The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction? (2004)The conjunction fallacy: a mi…Frequency illusions and other fallacies (2003)Frequency illusions and other…On the reality of the conjunction fallacy (2002)On the reality of the conjunc…The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors (1999)The ‘conjunction fallacy’ rev…How alike is it versus how likely is it: A disjunction fallacy in probability judgments. (1993)How alike is it versus how li…Representativeness and conjoint probability. (1991)Representativeness and conjoi…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Decision, Order and Time in Human Affairs. (1962)Decision, Order and Time in H…Scalar implicatures under uncertainty (2020)Scalar implicatures under unc…Linda problem – the tame solution in question (2020)Linda problem – the tame solu…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)A power primer. (1992)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Heuristics and biases as measures of critical thinking: Associations with cognitive ability and thinking dispositions. (2008)Relevance: Communication and Cognition (1986)Studies in the Way of Words (1989)Experimental practices in economics: A challenge for psychologists? (2000)A model of heuristic judgment (2005)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)The degree of epistemic justification and the conjunction fallacy (2009)The Psychological Basis of the Harman-Vogel Paradox (2011)Escaping Paternalism (2019)Features of similarity. (1977)Associative judgment and vector space semantics. (2016)The Bayesian sampler: Generic Bayesian inference causes incoherence in human probability judgments. (2020)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)The Forgotten Ones? The Validity of Consideration and Initiating Structure in Leadership Research. (2004)Rationality, foolishness, and adaptive intelligence (2006)An evolutionary approach to understanding international business activity: The co-evolution of MNEs and the institutional environment (2009)Intuition and Reasoning: A Dual-Process Perspective (2010)Bias and Conflict (2012)Learning to argue: A study of four schools and their attempt to develop the use of argumentation as a common instructional practice and its impact on students (2013)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 2007Bayesian Rationality556 cited
  • 1999The ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors538 cited
  • 1962Decision, Order and Time in Human Affairs.400 cited
  • 2003Frequency illusions and other fallacies266 cited
  • 1993How alike is it versus how likely is it: A disjunction fallacy in probability judgments.188 cited
  • 2012On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability versus inductive confirmation.144 cited
  • 2008Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy130 cited
  • 2004The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?116 cited
  • 2011Making sense of surprise: An investigation of the factors influencing surprise judgments.111 cited
  • 2002On the reality of the conjunction fallacy111 cited
  • 2009Probability theory, not the very guide of life.102 cited
  • 1991Representativeness and conjoint probability.95 cited

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  • 2004The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?88 cited
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    • 2020Linda problem – the tame solution in question2 cited
    • 2020Scalar implicatures under uncertainty1 cited