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Review of Research into Enterprise Bankruptcy Prediction in Selected Central and Eastern European Countries

79 citations0/0 files storedInternational Journal of Financial Studies

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Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction Corporate Insolvency and Governance Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Abstract

In developed countries, the first studies on forecasting bankruptcy date to the early 20th century. In Central and Eastern Europe, due to, among other factors, the geopolitical situation and the introduced economic system, this issue became the subject of researcher interest only in the 1990s. Therefore, it is worthwhile to analyze whether these countries conduct bankruptcy risk assessments and what their level of advancement is. The main objective of the article is the review and assessment of the level of advancement of bankruptcy prediction research in countries of the former Eastern Bloc, in comparison to the latest global research trends in this area. For this purpose, the method of analyzing scientific literature was applied. The publications chosen as the basis for the research were mainly based on information from the Google Scholar and ResearchGate databases during the period Q4 2016–Q3 2017. According to the author’s knowledge, this is the first such large-scale study involving the countries of the former Eastern Bloc—which includes the following states: Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Ukraine, Hungary, Russia, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Romania, Bulgaria, and Belarus. The results show that the most advanced research in this area is conducted in the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia, Estonia, Russia, and Hungary. Belarus Bulgaria and Latvia are on the other end. In the remaining countries, traditional approaches to predicting business insolvency are generally used.

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References

1968FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND THE PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY 1980Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy 1966Financial Ratios As Predictors of Failure 1984Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress Prediction Models 2001Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model 1992Managerial Applications of Neural Networks: The Case of Bank Failure Predictions 1977Early warning of bank failure 1990A neural network model for bankruptcy prediction

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