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Covariance Forecasting in Equity Markets
16 references·3 citing·33 second hop
Covariance Forecasting in Equity Markets (2018)Covariance Forecasting in Equity MarketsVariance Risk Premiums (2008)Variance Risk PremiumsA Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility (2008)A Simple Approximate Long-Mem…Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Tests of Conditional Predicti…Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns (2006)Asymmetric Dynamics in the Co…Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Modeling and Forecasting Real…International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts (2002)International Asset Allocatio…Dynamic Conditional Correlation (2002)Dynamic Conditional Correlati…The distribution of realized stock return volatility (2001)The distribution of realized …Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH (1995)Multivariate Simultaneous Gen…On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)On the Relation between the E…No news is good news (1992)No news is good newsModelling the Coherence in Short-Run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized Arch Model (1990)Modelling the Coherence in Sh…Efficient Analytic Approximation of American Option Values (1987)Efficient Analytic Approximat…Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)The Pricing of Options and Co…An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)An Intertemporal Capital Asse…Forecasting realized volatility with spillover effects: Perspectives from graph neural networks (2024)Forecasting realized volatili…Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Realized Volatility with Nonlinear Spillover Effects (2023)Graph Neural Networks for For…Graph-Based Methods for Forecasting Realized Covariances (2022)Graph-Based Methods for Forec…ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers (2011)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards (2004)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances (1988)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model (1993)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility (2007)Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia (2011)Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks (2022)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms (2014)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)
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References

  • 1973The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities29,064 cited
  • 1993On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks9,041 cited
  • 2002Dynamic Conditional Correlation7,126 cited
  • 1973An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model6,557 cited
  • 1995Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH4,510 cited
  • 2003Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility3,887 cited
  • 1990Modelling the Coherence in Short-Run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized Arch Model3,519 cited
  • 2008A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility2,526 cited
  • 2001The distribution of realized stock return volatility2,264 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 1992No news is good news1,929 cited
  • 2002International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts1,779 cited
  • 2006Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns1,775 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 2008Variance Risk Premiums1,328 cited
  • 1987Efficient Analytic Approximation of American Option Values

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  • 2023Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Realized Volatility with Nonlinear Spillover Effects20 cited
  • 2024Forecasting realized volatility with spillover effects: Perspectives from graph neural networks18 cited
  • 2022Graph-Based Methods for Forecasting Realized Covariances18 cited