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Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area
12 references·16 citing·40 second hop
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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1986Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity22,329 cited
  • 1982Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation20,684 cited
  • 1995Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH4,510 cited
  • 1995Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control3,494 cited
  • 2002Broken Limits to Life Expectancy2,818 cited
  • 2001Fiscal Implications of Ageing: Projections of Age-Related Spending432 cited
  • 2000Beyond six billion : forecasting the world's population297 cited
  • 1994Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low277 cited
  • 1993Financial Deregulation and Household Saving275 cited
  • 1994Quantifying the credibility of energy projections from trends in past data142 cited
  • 2005The Duhem‐Quine thesis and experimental economics: A reinterpretation103 cited
  • 2004Some fundamental problems in Becker, Grossman and Murphy's implementation of rational addiction theory57 cited

Cited by

  • 2007Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries64 cited
  • 2018Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility57 cited

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2006
New forecast: Population decline postponed in Europe
54 cited
  • 2007Fifty years of United Kingdom national population projections: how accurate have they been?54 cited
  • 2008European Demographic Forecasts Have Not Become More Accurate Over the Past 25 Years50 cited
  • 2009EVALUATING ALTERNATIVE REPRESENTATIONS OF THE CHOICE SETS IN MODELS OF LABOR SUPPLY50 cited
  • 2005Labor Supply of Retiring Couples and Heterogeneity in Household Decision-Making Structure43 cited
  • 2020Developments in Demographic Forecasting34 cited
  • 2017Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts33 cited
  • 2007The forecast accuracy of Australian Bureau of Statistics national population projections30 cited
  • 2011THE FORECAST ACCURACY OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA POPULATION PROJECTIONS: A CASE STUDY OF QUEENSLAND28 cited
  • 2014Regional probabilistic fertility forecasting by modeling between-country correlations27 cited
  • 2003Perspectives on mortality forecasting27 cited
  • 2019Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting26 cited
  • 2008Empirically based specification of forecast uncertainty24 cited
  • 2020Uncertainty in Population Forecasts for the Twenty-First Century22 cited