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Out-of-sample equity premium prediction in the presence of structural breaks
16 references·1 citing·35 second hopsampled
Out-of-sample equity premium prediction in the presence of structural breaks (2019)Out-of-sample equity premium prediction i…Forecasting Stock Returns (2013)Forecasting Stock ReturnsForecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2011)Forecasting the Equity Risk P…Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium …Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Retur…A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)A Comprehensive Look at The E…Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality (2006)Asymptotics for out of sample…Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models (2006)Approximately normal tests fo…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable (2000)Investing for the Long Run wh…Approximate Asymptotic P Values for StructuraS-Change Tests (1997)Approximate Asymptotic P Valu…Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Tests for Parameter Instabili…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…Inflation, interest rates and the predictability of stock returns (2023)Inflation, interest rates and…Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case (1969)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)A five-factor asset pricing model (2014)The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)Testing for the Constancy of Parameters Over Time (1989)Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit Root and Trend Break Hypothesis: Theory and International Evidence (1990)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (1992)What is an Oil Shock? (2000)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (2002)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)To Explain or to Predict? (2010)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns (2014)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)
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References

  • 1993Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point4,325 cited
  • 2007A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction3,984 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 1988The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors3,784 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2,916 cited
  • 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models2,513 cited
  • 1986The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors2,443 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 2009Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy1,684 cited
  • 2000Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable1,372 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 2011Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators1,020 cited
  • 2006Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality697 cited
  • 1997

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Approximate Asymptotic P Values for StructuraS-Change Tests
642 cited
  • 2013Forecasting Stock Returns634 cited
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    • 2023Inflation, interest rates and the predictability of stock returns17 cited