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Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty*
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Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty* (2023)Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP D…Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science (2019)Communicating uncertainty abo…Measuring Uncertainty (2015)Measuring UncertaintyFrontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis (2011)Frontiers of Real-Time Data A…Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys (2009)Rounding Probabilistic Expect…Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters (2009)Comparing the Point Predictio…Data Revisions Are Not Well Behaved (2008)Data Revisions Are Not Well B…Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? (2007)Why Has U.S. Inflation Become…Measuring Expectations (2004)Measuring ExpectationsInflation Forecast Uncertainty (2003)Inflation Forecast UncertaintyMonetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data (2001)Monetary Policy Rules Based o…A real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…Evaluating Interval Forecasts (1998)Evaluating Interval ForecastsConsensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1987)Consensus and Uncertainty in …News or Noise? An Analysis of GNP Revisions (1986)News or Noise? An Analysis of…Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1983)Consensus and Uncertainty in …A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP (2022)Communicating Data Uncertaint…Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)CAViaR (2004)CoVaR (2016)Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense (1998)Macroeconomic Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Data (2008)Real-Time Density Forecasts From Bayesian Vector Autoregressions With Stochastic Volatility (2010)Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)A review of the effects of uncertainty in public science communication (2020)The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers (2020)The Emergence of COVID-19 in the US: A Public Health and Political Communication Crisis (2020)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets (1997)Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach (2005)Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence (2008)Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? (2002)Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks (2011)Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks (2013)Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data (2017)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks (2009)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty* (2016)COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty (2020)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior (1980)Measuring and Explaining Management Practices Across Firms and Countries (2006)The Consumption Response to Income Changes (2010)Biased perceptions of income distribution and preferences for redistribution: Evidence from a survey experiment (2012)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)A Nonpragmatic Vindication of Probabilism (1998)Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts (1999)Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link (2010)The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements (2010)Economic policy uncertainty and firm-level investment (2013)Forecasting Inflation (2013)
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References

  • 2015Measuring Uncertainty2,908 cited
  • 1998Evaluating Interval Forecasts2,689 cited
  • 2007Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?1,719 cited
  • 2004Measuring Expectations1,433 cited
  • 2001Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data1,357 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists787 cited
  • 2019Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science449 cited
  • 2003Inflation Forecast Uncertainty386 cited
  • 1987Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction361 cited
  • 2009Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters353 cited
  • 2011Frontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis333 cited
  • 1983Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction324 cited
  • 2009Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys307 cited
  • 1986News or Noise? An Analysis of GNP Revisions300 cited
  • 2008Data Revisions Are Not Well Behaved236 cited

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  • 2022Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP0 cited