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Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices
16 references·6 citing·33 second hopsampled
Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices (2000)Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past…Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests (2000)Conditional Skewness in Asset…Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage, and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies (2000)Bad News Travels Slowly: Size…Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets (2000)Asymmetric Volatility and Ris…Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)Volume, Volatility, Price, an…Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses? (1998)Are Investors Reluctant to Re…Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models (1997)Empirical Performance of Alte…On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)On the Relation between the E…Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility (1993)Measuring and Testing the Imp…Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race (1993)Differences of Opinion Make a…Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Conditional Heteroskedasticit…Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Noise Trader Risk in Financia…Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Expected stock returns and vo…The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence (1985)The Disposition to Sell Winne…The stochastic behavior of common stock variances Value, leverage and interest rate effects (1982)The stochastic behavior of co…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)The Pricing of Options and Co…Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium…National elections and tail risk: International evidence (2017)National elections and tail r…The dark side of outside directors: Do they quit when they are most needed? (2010)The dark side of outside dire…Carry Trades and Speculative Dynamics (2006)Carry Trades and Speculative …An alternative conditional asymmetry specification for stock returns (2003)An alternative conditional as…Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns: Evidence and Implications (2001)Asymmetric Cross-sectional Di…A Nonlinear Factor Analysis of S&P 500 Index Option Returns (2001)A Nonlinear Factor Analysis o…Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading (1985)The Limits of Arbitrage (1995)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns (2006)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)… and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (2015)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Toward a positive theory of consumer choice (1980)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors (2000)All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors (2007)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model (1993)
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References

  • 1973The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities29,064 cited
  • 1973Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests14,248 cited
  • 1991Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach10,268 cited
  • 1993On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks9,041 cited
  • 1990Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets6,259 cited
  • 1987Expected stock returns and volatility4,147 cited
  • 1998Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?3,721 cited
  • 1993Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility3,692 cited
  • 1985The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence3,550 cited
  • 2000Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests2,837 cited
  • 1997Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models2,708 cited
  • 2000Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage, and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies2,639 cited
  • 1982The stochastic behavior of common stock variances Value, leverage and interest rate effects2,382 cited
  • 1998Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average1,980 cited
  • 1993Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race

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1,650 cited
  • 2000Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets1,471 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2006Carry Trades and Speculative Dynamics90 cited
    • 2010The dark side of outside directors: Do they quit when they are most needed?66 cited
    • 2001Asymmetric Cross-sectional Dispersion in Stock Returns: Evidence and Implications41 cited
    • 2017National elections and tail risk: International evidence33 cited
    • 2001A Nonlinear Factor Analysis of S&P 500 Index Option Returns26 cited
    • 2003An alternative conditional asymmetry specification for stock returns21 cited