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Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
13 references·2 citing·45 second hop
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis (2011)Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful …Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions (2008)Directional forecasts of GDP …What Caused the Great Moderation? Some Cross-Country Evidence (2005)What Caused the Great Moderat…Does consumer sentiment accurately forecast UK household consumption? Are there any comparisons to be made with the US? (2005)Does consumer sentiment accur…Evaluating consumer sentiments as predictors of UK household consumption behavior (2004)Evaluating consumer sentiment…How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series? (2003)How costly is it to ignore br…Forecasting with a real-time data set for macroeconomists (2002)Forecasting with a real-time …Directional accuracy tests of long-term interest rate forecasts (2002)Directional accuracy tests of…The accuracy of IMF and OECD forecasts for G7 countries (2000)The accuracy of IMF and OECD …An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve (2000)An evaluation of the predicti…Are OECD forecasts rational and useful?: a directional analysis (1998)Are OECD forecasts rational a…Professional economic forecasts: Are they worth their costs? (1995)Professional economic forecas…Evaluating Predictions of Change (1990)Evaluating Predictions of Cha…On Market Timing and Investment Performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills (1981)On Market Timing and Investme…Purchasing and supply managers provide early clues on the direction of the US economy: An application of a new market-timing test (2013)Purchasing and supply manager…A directional analysis of Federal Reserve predictions of growth in unit labor costs and productivity (2011)A directional analysis of Fed…Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series (1999)Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)What is an Oil Shock? 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References

  • 1981On Market Timing and Investment Performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills1,321 cited
  • 2002Forecasting with a real-time data set for macroeconomists225 cited
  • 2005What Caused the Great Moderation? Some Cross-Country Evidence189 cited
  • 2003How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?174 cited
  • 2000The accuracy of IMF and OECD forecasts for G7 countries132 cited
  • 2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve132 cited
  • 1990Evaluating Predictions of Change115 cited
  • 2002Directional accuracy tests of long-term interest rate forecasts101 cited
  • 1998Are OECD forecasts rational and useful?: a directional analysis99 cited
  • 2005Does consumer sentiment accurately forecast UK household consumption? Are there any comparisons to be made with the US?97 cited
  • 2008Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions93 cited
  • 1995Professional economic forecasts: Are they worth their costs?66 cited
  • 2004Evaluating consumer sentiments as predictors of UK household consumption behavior53 cited

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  • 2013Purchasing and supply managers provide early clues on the direction of the US economy: An application of a new market-timing test

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16 cited
  • 2011A directional analysis of Federal Reserve predictions of growth in unit labor costs and productivity11 cited