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Are Stocks Riskier over the Long Run? Taking Cues from Economic Theory
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Are Stocks Riskier over the Long Run? Taking Cues from Economic Theory (2017)Are Stocks Riskier over the Long Run? Tak…Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices (2008)Stocks as Lotteries: The Impl…Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Retur…Prospect Theory and Asset Prices (2001)Prospect Theory and Asset Pri…Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Risks for the Long Run: A Pot…Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable (2000)Investing for the Long Run wh…By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)By Force of Habit: A Consumpt…Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Common risk factors in the re…Global Portfolio Optimization (1992)Global Portfolio OptimizationSubstitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework (1989)Substitution, Risk Aversion, …The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS …Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model (1971)Optimum consumption and portf…The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)The Valuation of Risk Assets …CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEOR…Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence (1978)The Dual Theory of Choice under Risk (1987)Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. (1993)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)A five-factor asset pricing model (2014)Lifetime Portfolio Selection By Dynamic Stochastic Programming (1969)Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case (1969)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)LIFETIME PORTFOLIO SELECTION BY DYNAMIC STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING (1975)An equilibrium characterization of the term structure (1977)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment (2008)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)The equity premium: A puzzle (1985)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Value and Momentum Everywhere (2013)… and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (2015)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Relative Income, Happiness, and Utility: An Explanation for the Easterlin Paradox and Other Puzzles (2008)
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References

  • 1993Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds26,615 cited
  • 1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*19,431 cited
  • 1965The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets7,600 cited
  • 1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]6,743 cited
  • 1971Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model5,966 cited
  • 1999By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior5,088 cited
  • 1989Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework4,270 cited
  • 2000Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles4,249 cited

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  • 1988The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors3,784 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2,916 cited
  • 1986The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors2,425 cited
  • 2001Prospect Theory and Asset Prices1,876 cited
  • 1992Global Portfolio Optimization1,846 cited
  • 2008Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices1,548 cited
  • 2000Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable1,372 cited
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