Probabilistic demographic forecasts

Abstract

Introduction Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age and Gender Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov Demographic Debate Are there principles of demography? A search for unifying (and hegemonic) Themes William P. Butz Can Taylor's law of fluctuation scaling and its relatives help select more plausible multi-regional population forecasts? Joel E. Cohen, Helge Brunborg, Meng Xu Probabilistic demographic forecasts Nico Keilman Education and demography: a review of world population and human capital in the 21st century Philip Rees Research Articles Population dynamics and human capital in Muslim countries Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Gavin W. Jones Survival inequalities and redistribution in the Italian pension system Graziella Caselli, Rosa Maria Lipsi Does education matter? – economic dependency ratios by education Alexia Prskawetz, Bernhard Hammer Multistate projections of Australia’s Indigenous population: interacting area group and identification status change James Raymer, Yanlin Shi, James O'Donnell, Nicholas Biddle The end of population ageing in the more developed world Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Patrick Gerland From intentions to births: paths of realization in a multi-dimensional life course Maria Rita Testa, Francesco Rampazzo Towards causal forecasting of international migration Frans Willekens Data and Trends Summary of Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries Nicholas Gailey, Wolfgang Lutz "Express transitioning" as a special case of the demographic transition Marc Luy, Bernhard Köppen

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