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Truth and Probability
0 references·16 citing·53 second hopsampled
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The need for alternative methods to evaluate medical interventions for ultra-rare disorders (2014)Synopsis of Principles for the Authorities and Controlled Transactions (2024)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Scorekeeping in a language game (1979)Book Review Nisbett, R. , & Ross, L.Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment.Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1980. (1982)Measuring the overall incoherence of credence functions (2015)How Do Beliefs Simplify Reasoning? (2019)Unsettled Thoughts (2019)Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Fact and Value (2007)Three explanations for the Kahneman-Tversky Programme of the 1970s (2011)Preferences: neither behavioural nor mental (2019)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Cost overruns in transportation infrastructure projects: Sowing the seeds for a probabilistic theory of causation (2016)Potential surprise theory as a theoretical foundation for scenario planning (2016)Responding to information asymmetry in crisis situations: innovation in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic (2021)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Theory of Rational Option Pricing (1973)On the FTAP of Kreps-Delbaen-Schachermayer (1997)The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with cone constraints (1999)Measuring risk with multiple eligible assets (2015)A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures (1977)Are objectives hierarchy related biases observed in practice? A meta-analysis of environmental and energy applications of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (2017)A review of water-related serious games to specify use in environmental Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (2018)Operational Research: methods and applications (2023)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)The equity premium: A puzzle (1985)The Joy of Giving or Assisted Living? Using Strategic Surveys to Separate Bequest and Precautionary Motives (2007)Do gender differences in preferences for competition matter for occupational expectations? (2009)Longevity risk, subjective survival expectations, and individual saving behavior (2012)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)What are the chances you’re right about everything? An epistemic challenge for modern partisanship (2020)From Belief Polarization to Echo Chambers: A Rationalizing Account (2022)Idealization in Epistemology (2023)‘More of an art than a science’? The development, design and mechanics of the Delphi Technique (2021)Analysis of rating scales: A pervasive problem in bilingualism research and a solution with Bayesian ordinal models (2021)Robot Voices in Daily Life: Vocal Human-Likeness and Application Context as Determinants of User Acceptance (2022)
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  • 2017A Bayesian perspective on Likert scales and central tendency142 cited
  • 2015The conceptual foundation of environmental decision support140 cited
  • 2006Economic analysis, moral philosophy, and public policy139 cited
  • 1993The valuation problem in arbitrage price theory94 cited
  • 2000The logic of normative falsification: rationality and experiments in decision theory84 cited
  • 2018Rational social and political polarization81 cited
  • 2014Uncovering unknown unknowns: Towards a Baconian approach to management decision-making78 cited
  • 1996Coherence as an ideal of rationality68 cited
  • 2002Induction and Probability68 cited
  • 2008Cognition and Wealth: The Importance of Probabilistic Thinking65 cited
  • 2018Best, second-best, and good-enough explanations: How they matter to reasoning.61 cited
  • 2020Argument Quality in Real World Argumentation56 cited
  • 1976A laplacean formal semantics for single-case propensities54 cited
  • 2020Dutch Book Arguments53 cited
  • 2010On Keynes's conception of the weight of evidence50 cited

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  • 1996The Logic of Belief and Belief Change: A Decision Theoretic Approach48 cited