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The Role of Data and Feedback Error in Inference and Prediction
16 references·1 citing·36 second hop
The Role of Data and Feedback Error in Inference and Prediction (1998)The Role of Data and Feedback Error in In…The Logic of Scientific Discovery (2013)The Logic of Scientific Disco…Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing. (1987)Confirmation, disconfirmation…Information-gathering processes: Diagnosticity, hypothesis-confirmatory strategies, and perceived hypothesis confirmation (1986)Information-gathering process…Decision analysis and behavioral research (1986)Decision analysis and behavio…Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective. (1983)Hypothesis evaluation from a …Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…Behavioral Decision Theory: Processes of Judgement and Choice (1981)Behavioral Decision Theory: P…Behavioral confirmation in social interaction: From social perception to social reality (1978)Behavioral confirmation in so…Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference (1977)Confirmation Bias in a Simula…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Some methodological considerations in multiple-cue probability studies. (1964)Some methodological considera…A suggested alternative formulation in the developments by Hursch, Hammond, and Hursch, and by Hammond, Hursch, and Todd. (1964)A suggested alternative formu…On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task (1960)On the Failure to Eliminate H…Models of Man--Social and Rational (1958)Models of Man--Social and Rat…Perception and the Representative Design of Psychological Experiments (1956)Perception and the Representa…On Heuristic and Linear Models of Judgment: Mapping the Demand for Knowledge (2007)On Heuristic and Linear Model…The theory of decision making. (1954)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Best-worst multi-criteria decision-making method (2014)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Rank Correlation Methods. (1949)Rank Correlation Methods. (1957)The Logic of Scientific Discovery. (1959)Positive-Negative Asymmetry in Evaluations: The Distinction Between Affective and Informational Negativity Effects (1990)Initial Trust Formation in New Organizational Relationships (1998)Scientific Discovery Learning with Computer Simulations of Conceptual Domains (1998)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (2022)Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)A review and reformulation of social information-processing mechanisms in children's social adjustment. (1994)Grounded theory research: Procedures, canons, and evaluative criteria (1990)Mixed Methods Research: A Research Paradigm Whose Time Has Come (2004)Seeking Qualitative Rigor in Inductive Research (2012)The two disciplines of scientific psychology. (1957)Self-Efficacy: A Theoretical Analysis of Its Determinants and Malleability (1992)Feedback and Self-Regulated Learning: A Theoretical Synthesis (1995)FREQUENCY EFFECTS IN LANGUAGE PROCESSING (2002)Naturalistic Decision Making (2008)Instructional manipulation checks: Detecting satisficing to increase statistical power (2009)A model of investor sentiment /The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)
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References

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  • 2013The Logic of Scientific Discovery7,732 cited
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348 cited
  • 1986Information-gathering processes: Diagnosticity, hypothesis-confirmatory strategies, and perceived hypothesis confirmation310 cited
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    • 2007On Heuristic and Linear Models of Judgment: Mapping the Demand for Knowledge3 cited