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Experts in uncertainty
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Experts in uncertainty (1993)Experts in uncertaintyBayesian belief networks for human reliability analysis: A review of applications and gaps (2015)Bayesian belief networks for …Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds (2014)Identifying Expertise to Extr…Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy (2012)Basic principles of multi-ris…Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius (2008)Developing an Event Tree for …TU Delft expert judgment data base (2007)TU Delft expert judgment data…Summary from the epistemic uncertainty workshop: consensus amid diversity (2004)Summary from the epistemic un…Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures (2004)Expert judgement elicitation …Assessing Sensor Reliability for Multisensor Data Fusion Within the Transferable Belief Model (2004)Assessing Sensor Reliability …On the use of aggregation operations in information fusion processes (2003)On the use of aggregation ope…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Fusion: General concepts and characteristics (2001)Fusion: General concepts and …Procedures Guide for Structural Expert Judgement in Accident Consequence Modelling (2000)Procedures Guide for Structur…Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)Scoring rules and the evaluat…Uncertainty and Imprecision: Modelling and Analysis (1995)Uncertainty and Imprecision: …Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Everyday magical powers: The role of apparent mental causation in the overestimation of personal influence. (2006)Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions (2009)What's in a Term? Paranormal, Superstitious, Magical and Supernatural Beliefs by Any Other Name Would Mean the Same (2012)Handbook of human-reliability analysis with emphasis on nuclear power plant applications. Final report (1983)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM) (1998)Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis based on D numbers and AHP (2016)An Evidential Reasoning‐Based CREAM to Human Reliability Analysis in Maritime Accident Process (2017)Review of techniques and challenges of human and organizational factors analysis in maritime transportation (2021)Constructive Consumer Choice Processes (1998)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations (2004)The gateway belief model: A large-scale replication (2019)Will Humans-in-the-Loop Become Borgs? Merits and Pitfalls of Working with AI (2021)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs. (1977)Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs. (1994)Games with Incomplete Information Played by “Bayesian” Players, I–III: Part I. The Basic Model (2004)Combining Probability Forecasts (2010)Quantiles as optimal point forecasts (2010)A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning (2024)Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius (2004)BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting (2007)Reviewing and visualizing the interactions of natural hazards (2014)Hazard interactions and interaction networks (cascades) within multi-hazard methodologies (2016)Multi-risk assessment in mountain regions: A review of modelling approaches for climate change adaptation (2018)Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography (1986)Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling (2006)Guidance on Expert Knowledge Elicitation in Food and Feed Safety Risk Assessment (2014)Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response Policies (2015)Expert Elicitation: Using the Classical Model to Validate Experts’ Judgments (2017)The Method of Paired Comparisons. (1964)Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods (2001)Ethics and Law: Guiding the Invisible Hand to Correct Corporate Social Responsibility Externalities (2010)Modeling the Role of Inventories and Heterogeneity in the Assessment of the Economic Costs of Natural Disasters (2013)Structured elicitation of expert judgement for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment in volcanic eruptions (2018)Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough? (1983)Experts In Uncertainty (1991)Constructing event trees for volcanic crises (2001)Volcanic hazard impacts to critical infrastructure: A review (2014)A multi-hazard framework for spatial-temporal impact analysis (2022)The combination of evidence in the transferable belief model (1990)Information combination operators for data fusion: a comparative review with classification (1996)Refined modeling of sensor reliability in the belief function framework using contextual discounting (2006)Conflict measure for the discounting operation on belief functions (2008)Sensor Data Fusion with Z-Numbers and Its Application in Fault Diagnosis (2016)Fuzzy sets (1965)Fuzzy sets (1996)Aggregation functions based on penalties (2009)Generalized Bonferroni mean operators in multi-criteria aggregation (2010)Decision Making Methods Based on Fuzzy Aggregation Operators: Three Decades Review from 1986 to 2017 (2018)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)
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  • 2014Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds363 cited
  • 2007TU Delft expert judgment data base319 cited
  • 2012Basic principles of multi-risk assessment: a case study in Italy297 cited
  • 2003On the use of aggregation operations in information fusion processes267 cited
  • 2008Developing an Event Tree for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment at Vesuvius245 cited
  • 2015Bayesian belief networks for human reliability analysis: A review of applications and gaps243 cited
  • 1996Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities227 cited
  • 2004Assessing Sensor Reliability for Multisensor Data Fusion Within the Transferable Belief Model194 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
  • 2004Expert judgement elicitation for risk assessments of critical infrastructures176 cited
  • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.166 cited
  • 2001Fusion: General concepts and characteristics161 cited
  • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
  • 2000Procedures Guide for Structural Expert Judgement in Accident Consequence Modelling150 cited

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  • 2004Summary from the epistemic uncertainty workshop: consensus amid diversity146 cited
  • 1995Uncertainty and Imprecision: Modelling and Analysis146 cited