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Assessing Uncertainty
9 references·16 citing·23 second hop
Assessing Uncertainty (1974)Assessing UncertaintyOn the subjective probability of compound events (1973)On the subjective probability…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations-and Some Evidence- About Man's Ability to Process Information (1972)From Shakespeare to Simon: Sp…Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and re…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Belief in the law of small nu…International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences (1969)International Encyclopedia of…Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Sava…Financial risk propensity and investment decisions: An empirical analysis using behavioural biases (2024)Financial risk propensity and…Resource Scarcity Perceptions in Supply Chains: The Effect of Buyer Altruism on the Propensity for Collaboration (2020)Resource Scarcity Perceptions…Behavioral biases in marketing (2019)Behavioral biases in marketingIntolerance of uncertainty, causal uncertainty, causal importance, self-concept clarity and their relations to generalized anxiety disorder (2016)Intolerance of uncertainty, c…A model to explain at‐risk/problem gambling among male and female adolescents: Gender similarities and differences (2012)A model to explain at‐risk/pr…Risk perception and Bayesian analysis of international construction contract risks: The case of payment delays in a developing economy (2007)Risk perception and Bayesian …Expert elicitation and Bayesian analysis of construction contract risks: an investigation (2006)Expert elicitation and Bayesi…The Psychological Ideas of Amos Tversky and Their Relevance for Political Science (2001)The Psychological Ideas of Am…Bayes' theorem in the trial process: Instructing jurors on the value of statistical evidence. (1988)Bayes' theorem in the trial p…The foundations of econometrics–are there any (1985)The foundations of econometri…Accuracy in forecasting: A survey (1984)Accuracy in forecasting: A su…Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities (1983)Verbal Vs. Numerical Processi…A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking (1983)A Theoretical Perspective on …Methodologies for Risk and Hazard Assessment: A Survey and Status Report (1980)Methodologies for Risk and Ha…Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgement (1977)Proportionality and sample si…Measuring uncertainty (1975)Measuring uncertaintyA Behavioral Theory of the Firm (1964)The Politics of the Budgetary Process (1965)On the self-erasing nature of errors of prediction. (1980)Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation (1981)Limited Investor Attention and Stock Market Misreactions to Accounting Information (2010)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Disaggregation methods to expedite product line forecasting (1990)A theory of rolling horizon decision making (1991)Neural Network Forecasting of Tourism Demand (2005)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Motivated closing of the mind: "Seizing" and "freezing." (1996)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)THE ORGANIZATION AS POLITICAL ARENA (1985)The Cross-National Diffusion of Movement Ideas (1993)Third-party punishment and social norms (2004)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1961Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms7,892 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1971Belief in the law of small numbers.3,244 cited
  • 1971Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment1,819 cited
  • 1969International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences332 cited
  • 1973On the subjective probability of compound events331 cited
  • 1972From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations-and Some Evidence- About Man's Ability to Process Information273 cited

Cited by

  • 1984Accuracy in forecasting: A survey233 cited
  • 1983Verbal Vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities131 cited
  • 2012A model to explain at‐risk/problem gambling among male and female adolescents: Gender similarities and differences111 cited
  • 2019Behavioral biases in marketing98 cited
  • 1980Methodologies for Risk and Hazard Assessment: A Survey and Status Report79 cited
  • 2007Risk perception and Bayesian analysis of international construction contract risks: The case of payment delays in a developing economy

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77 cited
  • 1988Bayes' theorem in the trial process: Instructing jurors on the value of statistical evidence.72 cited
  • 2001The Psychological Ideas of Amos Tversky and Their Relevance for Political Science66 cited
  • 1977Proportionality and sample size as factors in intuitive statistical judgement65 cited
  • 2016Intolerance of uncertainty, causal uncertainty, causal importance, self-concept clarity and their relations to generalized anxiety disorder53 cited
  • 1985The foundations of econometrics–are there any37 cited
  • 2006Expert elicitation and Bayesian analysis of construction contract risks: an investigation37 cited
  • 1983A Theoretical Perspective on Heuristics and Biases in Probabilistic Thinking33 cited
  • 2020Resource Scarcity Perceptions in Supply Chains: The Effect of Buyer Altruism on the Propensity for Collaboration28 cited
  • 1975Measuring uncertainty20 cited
  • 2024Financial risk propensity and investment decisions: An empirical analysis using behavioural biases18 cited