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Probability Distributions of Common Repeated Events are Misestimated · Study

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PreprintProbability Distributions of Common Repeated Events are Misestimated

Oleg Urminsky2015

OA

Preprintgreen2015

Probability Distributions of Common Repeated Events are Misestimated

1 citations·0/0 files stored·SSRN Electronic Journal

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Probability and Statistical Research Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

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References

1992Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty 2004Decisions from Experience and the Effect of Rare Events in Risky Choice 1985The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences 1996Are humans good intuitive statisticians after all? Rethinking some conclusions from the literature on judgment under uncertainty 1996Decision-Making Under Uncertainty: Capturing Dynamic Brand Choice Processes in Turbulent Consumer Goods Markets 1991How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”2009The description–experience gap in risky choice 2006Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition

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Details

Year2015

Typepreprint

Published2015-01-01

VenueSSRN Electronic Journal

ISSN-L1556-5068

Languageen

Citations1

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

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doi10.2139/ssrn.2733345

openalex_workW4240350211

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