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Geopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability · Study

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ArticleGeopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability

Zhikai Zhang2022

Article2022

Geopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability

Zhikai Zhang · Mengxi He · Yaojie Zhang · Yudong Wang

144 citations·0/0 files stored·Energy

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Market Dynamics and Volatility Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets Global Energy Security and Policy

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References

1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle 1999Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference 1995Comparing Predictive Accuracy 2009Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market 2007A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2000Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models

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2023Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach 2023How does geopolitical risk affect carbon emissions?: An empirical study from the perspective of mineral resources extraction in OECD countries 2023Transmission mechanisms of geopolitical risks to the crude oil market——A pioneering two-stage geopolitical risk analysis approach 2024Deep learning systems for forecasting the prices of crude oil and precious metals

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Details

Year2022

Typearticle

Published2022-07-15

VenueEnergy

ISSN-L0360-5442

Languageen

Citations144

Files0 public / 0

ShelfMarket Dynamics and Volatility

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doi10.1016/j.energy.2022.124824

openalex_workW4285607119

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2023

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