Do couples make fertility plans one birth at a time?

J. Richard Udry

70 citations0/0 files storedDemography

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Family Dynamics and Relationships Reproductive Health and Contraception Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences

Abstract

Criteria are specified for distinguishing one-decision from sequential-decision models of fertility. Sequential decisions are not demonstrated by parity-specific differences in fertility determinants. Sequential models must demonstrate the importance of unanticipated intervening events in changing fertility plans or fertility experience. They must demonstrate that the intervening events are not caused by the fertility. Two empirical tests are designed to determine which model best fits the data. One test predicts fertility plans, the other fertility events. Both tests provide some support for sequential models.

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References

1980Fertility and Female Employment: Problems of Causal Direction 1981Values and Disvalues of Children in Successive Childbearing Decisions 1973Education and the Derived Demand for Children 1972Some Observations on the Economic Framework for Fertility Analysis 1978The determinants of marital fertility in the united states, 1968–1970: Inferences from a dynamic model 1981Economic Decision Theory and Human Fertility Behavior: A Speculative Essay

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