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The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time
16 references·8 citing·45 second hop
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time (2005)The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Ba…The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time (2002)The Unreliability of Output-G…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation? (2001)Are Phillips Curves Useful fo…A real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series (1999)Measuring Business Cycles: Ap…Forecasting inflation (1999)Forecasting inflationThe NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy (1997)The NAIRU, Unemployment and M…Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles:…How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment? (1996)How Precise are Estimates of …Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations (1996)Evidence on Structural Instab…Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Asymptotic Inference about Pr…Estimating Potential Output as a Latent Variable (1994)Estimating Potential Output a…The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances (1988)The Dynamic Effects of Aggreg…The Cyclical Component of U. S. Economic Activity (1987)The Cyclical Component of U. …Trends and Cycles in Macroeconomic Time Series (1985)Trends and Cycles in Macroeco…A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’ (1981)A new approach to decompositi…Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation? (2017)Do Phillips Curves Conditiona…A Real-Time Historical Database for the OECD (2011)A Real-Time Historical Databa…The Usefulness of Output Gaps for Policy Analysis (2008)The Usefulness of Output Gaps…The use of real-time information in Phillips-curve relationships for the euro area (2005)The use of real-time informat…Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better? (2005)Do Macro Variables, Asset Mar…A New Method for Combining Detrending Techniques with Application to Business Cycle Synchronization of the New EU Members (2005)A New Method for Combining De…The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time (2004)The Reliability of Inflation …Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy (2003)Inflation Scares and Forecast…Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts (1980)Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series (1988)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models (1996)An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area (2003)What are the effects of monetary policy on output? 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References

  • 1997Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation7,358 cited
  • 1988The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances3,940 cited
  • 1999Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series2,829 cited
  • 1981A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’2,308 cited
  • 1996Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability1,415 cited
  • 1999Forecasting inflation1,273 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 2002The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time944 cited
  • 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists787 cited
  • 1987The Cyclical Component of U. S. Economic Activity741 cited
  • 2001Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?731 cited
  • 1985Trends and Cycles in Macroeconomic Time Series688 cited
  • 1997The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy666 cited
  • 1996Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations617 cited
  • 1994Estimating Potential Output as a Latent Variable452 cited

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  • 1996How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment?427 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2008The Usefulness of Output Gaps for Policy Analysis50 cited
    • 2005Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?44 cited
    • 2017Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?41 cited
    • 2005A New Method for Combining Detrending Techniques with Application to Business Cycle Synchronization of the New EU Members23 cited
    • 2004The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time20 cited
    • 2011A Real-Time Historical Database for the OECD18 cited
    • 2005The use of real-time information in Phillips-curve relationships for the euro area17 cited
    • 2003Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy15 cited