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A large-scale study into human judgments: New evidence for probabilistic fallacies
16 references·0 citing·46 second hop
A large-scale study into human judgments: New evidence for probabilistic fallacies (2023)A large-scale study into human judgments:…The Bayesian sampler: Generic Bayesian inference causes incoherence in human probability judgments. 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(1983)Extensional versus intuitive …On the study of statistical intuitions (1982)On the study of statistical i…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Emotional processing of fear: Exposure to corrective information. (1986)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Self-generated validity and other effects of measurement on belief, attitude, intention, and behavior. 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(1983)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)A Quantum Probability Account of Order Effects in Inference (2011)Quantum cognition: a new theoretical approach to psychology (2015)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)Where do hypotheses come from? (2017)Escaping Paternalism (2019)Context theory of classification learning. (1978)Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)A role for the developing lexicon in phonetic category acquisition. (2013)A rational account of pedagogical reasoning: Teaching by, and learning from, examples (2014)Rational Irrationality: Modeling Climate Change Belief Polarization Using Bayesian Networks (2016)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Quantitative Predictions in Quantum Decision Theory (2016)Quantum Decision Theory in Simple Risky Choices (2016)Quantum Probabilities as Behavioral Probabilities (2017)Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Informal Conceptions of Probability (1989)From tools to theories: A heuristic of discovery in cognitive psychology. (1991)Heuristics and biases as measures of critical thinking: Associations with cognitive ability and thinking dispositions. (2008)Probabilistic Biases Meet the Bayesian Brain (2020)The Future of Decisions From Experience: Connecting Real-World Decision Problems to Cognitive Processes (2023)Why bounded rationality (in epistemology)? (2023)Intuition and Reasoning: A Dual-Process Perspective (2010)Bias and Conflict (2012)Learning to argue: A study of four schools and their attempt to develop the use of argumentation as a common instructional practice and its impact on students (2013)
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References

  • 1982On the study of statistical intuitions718 cited
  • 2007Bayesian Rationality556 cited
  • 2011A quantum theoretical explanation for probability judgment errors.410 cited
  • 2010Rational approximations to rational models: Alternative algorithms for category learning.368 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.361 cited
  • 2013A Quantum Question Order Model Supported by Empirical Tests of anA Prioriand Precise Prediction218 cited
  • 1989Suppressing natural heuristics by formal instruction: The case of the conjunction fallacy150 cited
  • 2014Surprisingly rational: Probability theory plus noise explains biases in judgment.141 cited
  • 2020The Bayesian sampler: Generic Bayesian inference causes incoherence in human probability judgments.97 cited
  • 2015A survey of quantum-like approaches to decision making and cognition96 cited
  • 2004The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?88 cited
  • 2016People’s conditional probability judgments follow probability theory (plus noise)47 cited
  • 2016Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account46 cited
  • 2016Zeno's paradox in decision-making42 cited
  • 2020

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Broken Physics: A Conjunction-Fallacy Effect in Intuitive Physical Reasoning
42 cited
  • 2017A quantum theory account of order effects and conjunction fallacies in political judgments27 cited
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