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Eliciting Expectations
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Eliciting Expectations (2024)Eliciting ExpectationsFive Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios (2019)Five Facts about Beliefs and …Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns (2019)Diagnostic Expectations and S…Proof that Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly (2015)Proof that Properly Anticipat…Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Expectations of Returns and E…Managerial Miscalibration* (2013)Managerial Miscalibration*Time Series Momentum (2011)Time Series MomentumPresidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Presidential Address: Discoun…Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?* (2011)Depression Babies: Do Macroec…Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better? (2007)Do macro variables, asset mar…Overconfidence in Interval Estimates. (2004)Overconfidence in Interval Es…Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does "Irrationality" Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions (2003)Perspectives on Behavioral Fi…"Coherent Arbitrariness": Stable Demand Curves Without Stable Preferences (2003)"Coherent Arbitrariness": Sta…Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Support theory: A nonextensio…When More Pain Is Preferred to Less: Adding a Better End (1993)When More Pain Is Preferred t…Cognitive processes underlying context effects in attitude measurement. (1988)Cognitive processes underlyin…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations (2025)Direct Elicitation of Paramet…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Adaptive Decision Maker (1993)The Adaptive Decision Maker (1994)Experimenter demand effects in economic experiments (2009)A literature review of the anchoring effect (2010)Influencing behaviour: The mindspace way (2011)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)A power primer. (1992)Handbook of Emotions (1993)On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function (1999)Perspective Taking as Egocentric Anchoring and Adjustment. (2004)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior (1979)SCRIPTS, PLANS, GOALS, AND UNDERSTANDING (1988)Response strategies for coping with the cognitive demands of attitude measures in surveys (1991)Assessing subjective well-being: Progress and opportunities (1994)Self-reports: How the questions shape the answers. (1999)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model (2014)Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles (2017)Manager sentiment and stock returns (2018)Editor's Choice Digesting Anomalies: An Investment ApproachEfficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)… and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (2015)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias (1991)Developments in the Measurement of Subjective Well-Being (2006)Relative Income, Happiness, and Utility: An Explanation for the Easterlin Paradox and Other Puzzles (2008)Positive Emotions Broaden and Build (2013)Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment (2005)Trusting the Stock Market (2005)Overconfidence and Early‐Life Experiences: The Effect of Managerial Traits on Corporate Financial Policies (2011)Imprinting: Toward a Multilevel Theory (2013)Culture and Institutions (2015)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2014)Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns (2014)Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability? (2015)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors (2000)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Stochastic Convenience Yield and the Pricing of Oil Contingent Claims (1990)Inefficient Markets (2000)Equity Premia as Low as Three Percent? Evidence from Analysts' Earnings Forecasts for Domestic and International Stock Markets (2001)
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References

  • 2011Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?*2,479 cited
  • 2011Presidential Address: Discount Rates2,222 cited
  • 2015Proof that Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly2,078 cited
  • 1993When More Pain Is Preferred to Less: Adding a Better End1,501 cited
  • 2011Time Series Momentum1,470 cited
  • 2003"Coherent Arbitrariness": Stable Demand Curves Without Stable Preferences1,453 cited
  • 2014Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns1,187 cited
  • 1994Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.1,159 cited
  • 1988Cognitive processes underlying context effects in attitude measurement.969 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 2007Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?801 cited
  • 2013Managerial Miscalibration*779 cited
  • 2003Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does "Irrationality" Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions627 cited
  • 2019Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios541 cited
  • 2004Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.508 cited

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2019
Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns
397 cited

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  • 2025Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations1 cited