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Calibration Feedback with the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence
16 references·0 citing·49 second hop
Calibration Feedback with the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence (2024)Calibration Feedback with the Practical S…Actively Open-Minded Thinking and Its Measurement (2023)Actively Open-Minded Thinking…Psychometric properties of the Actively Open-minded Thinking scale (2020)Psychometric properties of th…World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision (2019)World Urbanization Prospects:…The three faces of overconfidence (2017)The three faces of overconfid…Instructional manipulation checks: Detecting satisficing to increase statistical power (2009)Instructional manipulation ch…Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A rev…The recalcitrance of overconfidence and its contribution to decision aid neglect (2005)The recalcitrance of overconf…Training to Improve Calibration and Discrimination: The Effects of Performance and Environmental Feedback (2000)Training to Improve Calibrati…Outcome Feedback Effects on Under- and Overconfident Judgments (General Knowledge Tasks) (1996)Outcome Feedback Effects on U…The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters (1992)The effects of feedback and t…Choice in Context: Tradeoff Contrast and Extremeness Aversion (1992)Choice in Context: Tradeoff C…Judgment and decision making (1990)Judgment and decision makingRationality and Intelligence (1985)Rationality and IntelligenceStudies in subjective probability l: Prediction of random events (1983)Studies in subjective probabi…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationA New Vector Partition of the Probability Score (1973)A New Vector Partition of the…Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Risk Perception and Communication (1993)How we know--and sometimes misjudge--what others know: Imputing one's own knowledge to others. (1999)A Hubris Theory of Entrepreneurship (2006)Dimensions of Consumer Expertise (1987)Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias (1991)Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model (1991)Psychology and Economics (1997)Constructive Consumer Choice Processes (1998)Maximizing versus satisficing: Happiness is a matter of choice. (2002)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Effects of feedback intervention on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory. (1996)Forecasting at Scale (2017)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions (2022)Attitudinal effects of mere exposure. (1968)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)Violent offenders: Appraising and managing risk (2nd ed.). (2006)Are philosophers expert intuiters? (2010)Psychological roadblocks to the adoption of self-driving vehicles (2017)Toward a positive theory of consumer choice (1980)Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice (1985)Are Emily and Greg More Employable Than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination (2004)Investigating Variation in Replicability (2014)Methods for the detection of carelessly invalid responses in survey data (2015)How gamification motivates: An experimental study of the effects of specific game design elements on psychological need satisfaction (2016)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment (2005)Do Women Shy Away From Competition? Do Men Compete Too Much? (2007)The Mismeasure of the Self (2021)Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained: A Meta-Analysis of CEO Overconfidence, Strategic Risk Taking, and Performance (2022)The Impact of Cognitive Biases on Professionals’ Decision-Making: A Review of Four Occupational Areas (2022)Papua New Guinea (1984)Counterurbanization: The Changing Pace and Nature of Population Deconcentration (1990)Cities with invisible walls: reinterpreting urbanization in post-1949 China (1995)Urbanization in developing countries: Current trends, future projections, and key challenges for sustainability (2005)Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities (2007)The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones (2007)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)A Nonpragmatic Vindication of Probabilism (1998)Boys Will Be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (1998)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)Defining and Measuring Financial Literacy (2009)Toward a triarchic theory of human intelligence (1984)Educational Implications of the Theory of Multiple Intelligences (1989)On the reception and detection of pseudo-profound bullshit (2015)
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References

  • 2009Instructional manipulation checks: Detecting satisficing to increase statistical power3,489 cited
  • 2019World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision2,795 cited
  • 1992Choice in Context: Tradeoff Contrast and Extremeness Aversion1,727 cited
  • 1973A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score1,120 cited
  • 2006Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years535 cited
  • 1985Rationality and Intelligence510 cited
  • 1990Judgment and decision making510 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
  • 2017The three faces of overconfidence224 cited
  • 2005The recalcitrance of overconfidence and its contribution to decision aid neglect128 cited
  • 2000Training to Improve Calibration and Discrimination: The Effects of Performance and Environmental Feedback101 cited
  • 1992The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters92 cited
  • 2023Actively Open-Minded Thinking and Its Measurement83 cited
  • 1996Outcome Feedback Effects on Under- and Overconfident Judgments (General Knowledge Tasks)44 cited
  • 2020Psychometric properties of the Actively Open-minded Thinking scale42 cited

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  • 1983Studies in subjective probability l: Prediction of random events30 cited
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