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Exponential growth estimations and cognitive biases: Ability or availability?
16 references·0 citing·46 second hop
Exponential growth estimations and cognitive biases: Ability or availability? (2024)Exponential growth estimations and cognit…Politicians polarize and experts depolarize public support for COVID-19 management policies across countries (2022)Politicians polarize and expe…How to better communicate the exponential growth of infectious diseases (2020)How to better communicate the…Exponential-growth prediction bias and compliance with safety measures related to COVID-19 (2020)Exponential-growth prediction…Correcting misperceptions of exponential coronavirus growth increases support for social distancing (2020)Correcting misperceptions of …The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market∗ (2016)The Online Laboratory: Conduc…EXPONENTIAL-GROWTH BIAS AND LIFECYCLE CONSUMPTION (2015)EXPONENTIAL-GROWTH BIAS AND L…Social Attitudes and Psychophysical Measurement (2013)Social Attitudes and Psychoph…The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change Risks (2012)The Polarizing Impact of Scie…Beyond Comprehension (2012)Beyond ComprehensionThe promise of Mechanical Turk: How online labor markets can help theorists run behavioral experiments (2011)The promise of Mechanical Tur…Exponential Growth Bias and Household Finance (2009)Exponential Growth Bias and H…Cultural differences in the misperception of exponential growth (1983)Cultural differences in the m…The pond-and-duckweed problem; Three experiments on the misperception of exponential growth (1979)The pond-and-duckweed problem…Inverse statistics and misperception of exponential growth (1977)Inverse statistics and misper…Misperception of exponential growth (1975)Misperception of exponential …Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Man as an intuitive statistician. (1967)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Learning in and about complex systems (1994)Consumer Perceptions of Price (Un)Fairness (2003)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Statistical principles in experimental design. (1962)Little Science, Big Science (1963)The Adaptive Decision Maker (1993)Risk as feelings. (2001)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Development and Testing of an Abbreviated Numeracy Scale: A Rasch Analysis Approach (2012)Communicating Health Risks With Visual Aids (2013)The Evolving Field of Risk Communication (2020)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making (2005)Financial Literacy and Stock Market Participation (2007)Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field (2009)The Economic Importance of Financial Literacy: Theory and Evidence (2014)The Evolution of Cooperation (1981)Why Most Published Research Findings Are False (2005)Five Rules for the Evolution of Cooperation (2006)Spontaneous giving and calculated greed (2012)Human cooperation (2013)Statistical physics of human cooperation (2017)An Economic Theory of Democracy. (1958)Lazy, not biased: Susceptibility to partisan fake news is better explained by lack of reasoning than by motivated reasoning (2018)How to SHIFT Consumer Behaviors to be More Sustainable: A Literature Review and Guiding Framework (2019)Using social and behavioural science to support COVID-19 pandemic response (2020)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation (1999)oTree - An Open-Source Platform for Laboratory, Online, and Field Experiments (2016)Prior exposure increases perceived accuracy of fake news. (2018)Human Groups and Social Categories: Studies in Social Psychology. (1983)Rediscovering the Social Group: A Self‐Categorization Theory (1987)The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion (1992)Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022)A synthesis of evidence for policy from behavioural science during COVID-19 (2023)Explaining Polarized Trust in Scientists: A Political Stereotype-Approach (2024)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Methodology for measuring health-state preferences—II: Scaling methods (1989)Understanding subjective well-being: perspectives from psychology and public health (2020)
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References

  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 2012The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change Risks2,299 cited
  • 2016The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market∗1,526 cited
  • 2009Exponential Growth Bias and Household Finance851 cited
  • 2011The promise of Mechanical Turk: How online labor markets can help theorists run behavioral experiments683 cited
  • 2013Social Attitudes and Psychophysical Measurement392 cited
  • 2012Beyond Comprehension369 cited
  • 1975Misperception of exponential growth293 cited
  • 1979The pond-and-duckweed problem; Three experiments on the misperception of exponential growth163 cited
  • 2022Politicians polarize and experts depolarize public support for COVID-19 management policies across countries149 cited
  • 2020Correcting misperceptions of exponential coronavirus growth increases support for social distancing137 cited
  • 2015EXPONENTIAL-GROWTH BIAS AND LIFECYCLE CONSUMPTION103 cited
  • 1983Cultural differences in the misperception of exponential growth55 cited
  • 2020Exponential-growth prediction bias and compliance with safety measures related to COVID-1953 cited
  • 1977

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Inverse statistics and misperception of exponential growth
52 cited
  • 2020How to better communicate the exponential growth of infectious diseases26 cited
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