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The effect of calibration training on the calibration of intelligence analysts' judgments
16 references·1 citing·40 second hop
The effect of calibration training on the calibration of intelligence analysts' judgments (2024)The effect of calibration training on the…Managerial Miscalibration* (2013)Managerial Miscalibration*The trouble with overconfidence. (2008)The trouble with overconfiden…How to measure anything: finding the value of "intangibles" in business (2008)How to measure anything: find…Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A rev…Recommended effect size statistics for repeated measures designs (2005)Recommended effect size stati…Judgemental Overconfidence, Self-Monitoring, and Trading Performance in an Experimental Financial Market (2005)Judgemental Overconfidence, S…Overconfidence in Interval Estimates. (2004)Overconfidence in Interval Es…Generalized Eta and Omega Squared Statistics: Measures of Effect Size for Some Common Research Designs. (2003)Generalized Eta and Omega Squ…The nature of information and overconfidence on venture capitalists' decision making (2001)The nature of information and…Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask (1999)Overconfidence: It Depends on…Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues (1991)Calibration and probability j…Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events. (1985)Counterfactual reasoning and …Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…Training for calibration (1980)Training for calibrationCalibration Feedback With the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence (2024)Calibration Feedback With the…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Knowledge Calibration: What Consumers Know and What They Think They Know (2000)Individual differences in adult decision-making competence. (2007)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. (1983)Opportunity Evaluation under Risky Conditions: The Cognitive Processes of Entrepreneurs (2002)Are some entrepreneurs more overconfident than others? (2004)We Ask Men to Win and Women Not to Lose: Closing the Gender Gap in Startup Funding (2017)Statistical principles in experimental design. (1962)Design and Analysis: A Researcher's Handbook (1975)Statistical Principles in Experimental Design (1992)Seeking Congruity Between Goals and Roles (2010)Do you believe in atheists? Distrust is central to anti-atheist prejudice. (2011)Eta squared and partial eta squared as measures of effect size in educational research (2011)Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences. (1969)Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences (2013)effectsize: Estimation of Effect Size Indices and Standardized Parameters (2020)Society and the Adolescent Self-Image (1965)Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. (1999)Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms after Seeing Them Err (2014)Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment (2019)Resource-rational analysis: Understanding human cognition as the optimal use of limited computational resources (2019)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting (1997)Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Behavioral Economics: Past, Present, and Future (2016)Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations (2020)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors (2000)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion (1986)Ethical Decision Making by Individuals in Organizations: An Issue-Contingent Model (1991)Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making (1997)Supply chain risk management: present and future scope (2012)The Effectiveness of Online Shopping Characteristics and Well-Designed Websites on Satisfaction1 (2012)Benefits Realisation Management and its influence on project success and on the execution of business strategies (2014)
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References

  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 2008The trouble with overconfidence.2,347 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 2005Recommended effect size statistics for repeated measures designs1,811 cited
  • 2003Generalized Eta and Omega Squared Statistics: Measures of Effect Size for Some Common Research Designs.1,620 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 1999Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask786 cited
  • 2013Managerial Miscalibration*779 cited
  • 2001The nature of information and overconfidence on venture capitalists' decision making591 cited
  • 2008How to measure anything: finding the value of "intangibles" in business561 cited
  • 1991Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues550 cited
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  • 2004Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.508 cited
  • 2005Judgemental Overconfidence, Self-Monitoring, and Trading Performance in an Experimental Financial Market506 cited
  • 1985Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events.

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430 cited
  • 1980Training for calibration382 cited
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    • 2024Calibration Feedback With the Practical Scoring Rule Does Not Improve Calibration of Confidence2 cited