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Forecasting Population in an Uncertain World: Approaches, New Uses, and Troubling Limitations
16 references·0 citing·37 second hop
Forecasting Population in an Uncertain World: Approaches, New Uses, and Troubling Limitations (2024)Forecasting Population in an Uncertain Wo…Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study (2020)Fertility, mortality, migrati…Population aging and the generational economy: a global perspective (2012)Population aging and the gene…The Outlook for Population Growth (2011)The Outlook for Population Gr…The End of “Lowest‐Low” Fertility? (2009)The End of “Lowest‐Low” Ferti…Infection, inflammation, height, and longevity (2005)Infection, inflammation, heig…Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method (2005)Coherent mortality forecasts …A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century (2005)A Potential Decline in Life E…The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death, 1700–2100 (2004)The Escape from Hunger and Pr…The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change (2003)The Demographic Transition: T…Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)Broken Limits to Life Expecta…Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline (2002)Applying Lee-Carter under con…A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries (2000)A universal pattern of mortal…On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility (1998)On the Quantum and Tempo of F…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…In Search of Methuselah: Estimating the Upper Limits to Human Longevity (1990)In Search of Methuselah: Esti…Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity (1980)Aging, Natural Death, and the…The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality (1979)ADOLESCENT RESILIENCE: A Framework for Understanding Healthy Development in the Face of Risk (2004)Ageing populations: the challenges ahead (2009)A gradient of childhood self-control predicts health, wealth, and public safety (2011)Reviews: Borgatta, Edgar D., ed., Sociological Methodology, 1969. San Francisco, Jossey-Bass, Inc., 1969. 302 + xvi pp. $12.50. (1972)Applied Mathematical Demography (2005)Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030 (2006)Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories (2018)A Treatise on the Family (1991)Death and development (2008)Advances in development reverse fertility declines (2009)Grandparental investment: Past, present, and future (2010)Trends in Infectious Disease Mortality in the United States During the 20th Century (1999)Association Between Obesity and Psychiatric Disorders in the US Adult Population (2006)Mortality and Morbidity in the 21st Century (2017)The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition: The Age of Delayed Degenerative Diseases (1986)The aging of America. Impact on health care costs (1990)On the plasticity of intelligence in adulthood and old age: Where Horn and Donaldson fail. (1976)The Role of Medicine: Dream, Mirage or Nemesis? (1976)Long-term effects of a control-relevant intervention with the institutionalized aged. (1977)The Epidemiologic Transition: A Theory of the Epidemiology of Population Change (2005)Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 (2018)The second machine age: work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies (2015)Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 (2018)The future of farming: Who will produce our food? (2021)Global Warming of 1.5°C (2022)Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (2024)Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (2024)The World Economy (2001)The Cambridge Economic History of the Greco-Roman World (2007)SCHOOLS, SKILLS, AND SYNAPSES (2008)A century of trends in adult human height (2016)Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review (2006)Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models (2012)The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s (2002)The Unfolding Story of the Second Demographic Transition (2010)Why do people postpone parenthood? Reasons and social policy incentives (2011)
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References

  • 1980Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity3,387 cited
  • 2002Broken Limits to Life Expectancy2,878 cited
  • 2005A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century2,656 cited
  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,347 cited
  • 2020Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study1,635 cited
  • 2003The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change1,071 cited
  • 1998On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility707 cited
  • 2004The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death, 1700–2100660 cited
  • 1990In Search of Methuselah: Estimating the Upper Limits to Human Longevity651 cited
  • 2005Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method628 cited
  • 2009The End of “Lowest‐Low” Fertility?577 cited
  • 2000A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries532 cited
  • 2005Infection, inflammation, height, and longevity474 cited
  • 2002Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline456 cited
  • 2011The Outlook for Population Growth

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436 cited
  • 2012Population aging and the generational economy: a global perspective354 cited
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