Public transport and the COVID-19 pandemic: A comparative analysis of trends and policies in Great Britain, Germany, the USA, Canada, and Australia

Abstract

This paper compares changes in urban public transport (PT) demand and supply before, during, and after COVID-19 in Great Britain, Germany, the USA, Canada, and Australia. We also examine a range of PT system measures and government policies implemented during and since the pandemic to improve safety, adjust service levels, and encourage ridership. Ridership fell sharply in 2020 and 2021, when COVID-19 rates were highest. As a percentage of 2019 levels, the lowest annual ridership for each country was 31% for Great Britain, 42% for Canada, 46% for the USA, 48% for Australia, and 64% in Germany. The latest full year of available data (2023) indicates that Germany (91%) and Great Britain (86%) recovered the highest percentages of 2019 ridership levels compared to 80% in Canada, 76% in Australia, and 72% in the USA. Bus ridership declined less than rail ridership and recovered more fully, especially in the USA, Canada, and Australia. Our analysis of PT in five large cities finds that recovery rates were generally higher on weekends than on weekdays, both for bus and rail.The most important government policy for PT has been a massive increase in funding, especially from central governments, to offset the large operating budget deficits resulting from lost passenger revenue. That funding enabled PT systems to maintain or reduce fares while avoiding large reductions in supply. Dependable government support will be necessary in the coming years to make PT financially sustainable and to enable long-term planning for infrastructure modernization and improved service.

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