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Belief elicitation: a user's guide
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Belief elicitation: a user's guide (2025)Belief elicitation: a user's guideLIES IN DISGUISE-AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY ON CHEATING (2013)LIES IN DISGUISE-AN EXPERIMEN…Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Making and Evaluating Point F…Eliciting risk preferences: When is simple better? (2010)Eliciting risk preferences: W…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Elicitation using multiple price list formats (2006)Elicitation using multiple pr…Deception: The Role of Consequences (2005)Deception: The Role of Conseq…A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity (2005)A Smooth Model of Decision Ma…The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework \n (1999)The Effects of Financial Ince…A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability (1992)A More Robust Definition of S…Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior (1989)Maxmin expected utility with …Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms. (1986)Measuring the vague meanings …Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic (1980)Bayes Rule as a Descriptive M…Game-theoretic models and the role of information in bargaining. (1979)Game-theoretic models and the…Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations (1971)Elicitation of Personal Proba…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Conservatism in a simple prob…Measuring utility by a single-response sequential method (1964)Measuring utility by a single…Intrinsic and Extrinsic Motivation (2003)z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments (2007)The Dishonesty of Honest People: A Theory of Self-Concept Maintenance (2008)Business culture and dishonesty in the banking industry (2014)Intrinsic honesty and the prevalence of rule violations across societies (2016)Preferences for Truth-Telling (2016)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1964)Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (1970)Moral Hazard and Observability (1979)A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation (1999)Promises and Partnership (2006)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Experimental methods: Between-subject and within-subject design (2011)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Utility Theory for Decision Making (1971)Chapter 18 A survey of behavioral finance (2003)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)A better measure of relative prediction accuracy for model selection and model estimation (2014)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)A Bayesian analysis of attribution processes. (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)Recent developments in modeling preferences: Uncertainty and ambiguity (1992)Measuring Trust* (2000)Field Experiments (2004)Portfolio Selection with Parameter and Model Uncertainty: A Multi-Prior Approach (2006)Risk Aversion in the Laboratory (2008)Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances (2015)Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies? (2003)Third-party punishment and social norms (2004)
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References

  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,771 cited
  • 1989Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior4,063 cited
  • 1964Measuring utility by a single-response sequential method2,656 cited
  • 2005A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity1,889 cited
  • 2005Deception: The Role of Consequences1,732 cited
  • 1999The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework \n1,428 cited
  • 2013LIES IN DISGUISE-AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY ON CHEATING1,243 cited
  • 1971Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations1,228 cited
  • 2011Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts1,159 cited
  • 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.856 cited
  • 1980Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic821 cited
  • 2006Elicitation using multiple price list formats636 cited
  • 1992A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability585 cited
  • 1979Game-theoretic models and the role of information in bargaining.550 cited
  • 1986Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms.522 cited
  • 2010

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Eliciting risk preferences: When is simple better?
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