Thinking : psychological perspectives on reasoning, judgment and decision making

David K. Hardman · Laura Macchi

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Logic, Reasoning, and Knowledge Cognitive Science and Education Research

Abstract

List of Contributors. Introduction. Part I: Reasoning. Chapter 1: A Theory of Hypothetical Thinking (Jonathan St. B.T. Evans, David E. Over and Simon J. Handley). Chapter 2: Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning Strategies (Maxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton). Chapter 3: Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning Domains (Padraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning). Chapter 4: Superordinate Principles, Conditions and Conditionals (Neil Fairley and Ken Manktelow). Chapter 5: Premise Interpretation in Conditional Reasoning (Guy Politzer). Chapter 6: Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order Effects (Mike Oaksford and Nick Chater). Part II: Judgment. Chapter 7: Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and Probability (Karl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun). Chapter 8: Possibilities and Probabilities (Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird). Chapter 9: The Partitive Conditional Probability (Laura Macchi). Chapter 10: Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision Trees (Laura Martignon, Oliver Vitouch, Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster). Chapter 11: More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive Limits (Ralph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd). Chapter 12: Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics (Philip E. Tetlock). Part III: Decision Making. Chapter 13: Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision Making (A. John Maule, Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown). Chapter 14: Belief and Preference in Decision Under Uncertainty (Craig R. Fox and Kelly E. See). Chapter 15: Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision Making (Robert M. Hamm). Chapter 16: On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and Accountability (Gideon Keren and W andi Bruine de Bruin). Author Index. Subject Index.

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References

1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1994The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information.1992Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability 1921Risk, Uncertainty and Profit 1994Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs.2000The episodic buffer: a new component of working memory?

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